Forestar Group Stock Beta

FOR Stock

USD 28.36 0.08 0.28%

Forestar Group fundamentals help investors to digest information that contributes to Forestar's financial success or failures. It also enables traders to predict the movement of Forestar Stock. The fundamental analysis module provides a way to measure Forestar's intrinsic value by examining its available economic and financial indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes, the income statement patterns, and various microeconomic indicators and financial ratios related to Forestar stock.

Short Long Term Debt Total Total Assets

This module does not cover all equities due to inconsistencies in global equity categorizations. Continue to Equity Screeners to view more equity screening tools.

Forestar Group Company Beta Analysis

Forestar's Beta is one of the most important measures of equity market volatility. Beta can be thought of as asset elasticity or sensitivity to market. In other words, it is a number that shows the relationship of an equity instrument to the financial market in which this instrument is traded. For example, if Beta of equity is 2, it is expected to significantly outperform market when the market is going up and significantly underperform when the market is going down. Similarly, Beta of 1 indicates that an asset and market will generate similar returns over time.

Beta

Covariance

Variance

More About Beta | All Equity Analysis

Current Forestar Beta

1.76

Most of Forestar's fundamental indicators, such as Beta, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Forestar Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Forestar Beta Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Forestar is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Forestar Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Beta. Since Forestar's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Forestar's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Forestar's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Retained Earnings	Short Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Good Will	Total Permanent Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Long Term Debt	Short Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.46	0.98	0.97	0.79	0.78	0.23	0.49	0.95	-0.47	0.9	0.76	-0.2	0.53	0.86	0.82	0.84	-0.75	0.85	-0.49	0.89	0.56	0.92	-0.76	0.84
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.28	0.92	0.96	0.67	0.86	0.28	0.6	0.98	-0.44	0.85	0.74	-0.25	0.59	0.85	0.71	0.82	-0.73	0.89	-0.5	0.92	0.64	0.91	-0.7	0.87
Net Debt	0.46	0.28		0.61	0.48	0.72	0.03	0.1	-0.44	0.28	-0.26	0.42	0.16	0.32	-0.14	0.3	0.74	0.32	-0.31	0.22	0.1	0.15	-0.17	0.32	-0.5	0.25
Total Liab	0.98	0.92	0.61		0.94	0.87	0.68	0.18	0.36	0.88	-0.48	0.91	0.74	-0.14	0.46	0.83	0.9	0.82	-0.75	0.78	-0.46	0.82	0.47	0.89	-0.79	0.77
Accounts Payable	0.97	0.96	0.48	0.94		0.72	0.81	0.34	0.39	0.97	-0.4	0.81	0.66	-0.14	0.49	0.82	0.77	0.73	-0.7	0.85	-0.37	0.84	0.54	0.88	-0.71	0.86
Long Term Debt	0.79	0.67	0.72	0.87	0.72		0.38	0.04	0.26	0.61	-0.52	0.79	0.68	-0.01	0.28	0.81	0.98	0.79	-0.64	0.49	-0.36	0.58	0.41	0.77	-0.69	0.37
Property Plant Equipment	0.78	0.86	0.03	0.68	0.81	0.38		0.49	0.59	0.9	-0.2	0.6	0.46	-0.18	0.42	0.66	0.46	0.58	-0.47	0.93	-0.32	0.91	0.78	0.7	-0.33	0.83
Net Receivables	0.23	0.28	0.1	0.18	0.34	0.04	0.49		0.08	0.33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.28	0.69	-0.24	0.03	0.05	0.15	0.27	0.35	0.29	0.24	0.28	-0.04	0.29	0.34
Total Current Assets	0.49	0.6	-0.44	0.36	0.39	0.26	0.59	0.08		0.53	-0.3	0.47	0.63	-0.44	0.6	0.61	0.22	0.6	-0.35	0.48	-0.63	0.65	0.76	0.55	-0.21	0.34
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.98	0.28	0.88	0.97	0.61	0.9	0.33	0.53		-0.32	0.8	0.65	-0.24	0.54	0.82	0.68	0.72	-0.71	0.91	-0.38	0.91	0.66	0.88	-0.64	0.89
Short Term Investments	-0.47	-0.44	-0.26	-0.48	-0.4	-0.52	-0.2	-0.38	-0.3	-0.32		-0.38	-0.43	-0.43	-0.35	-0.35	-0.37	-0.59	0.2	-0.24	0.35	-0.3	-0.17	-0.35	0.32	-0.23
Intangible Assets	0.9	0.85	0.42	0.91	0.81	0.79	0.6	-0.12	0.47	0.8	-0.38		0.88	-0.39	0.64	0.81	0.82	0.79	-0.84	0.7	-0.61	0.85	0.51	0.9	-0.81	0.68
Common Stock	0.76	0.74	0.16	0.74	0.66	0.68	0.46	-0.28	0.63	0.65	-0.43	0.88		-0.53	0.8	0.83	0.66	0.81	-0.73	0.57	-0.77	0.72	0.5	0.87	-0.79	0.48
Good Will	-0.2	-0.25	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.18	0.69	-0.44	-0.24	-0.43	-0.39	-0.53		-0.57	-0.38	-0.08	-0.15	0.52	-0.23	0.57	-0.31	-0.29	-0.47	0.45	-0.19
Total Permanent Equity	0.53	0.59	-0.14	0.46	0.49	0.28	0.42	-0.24	0.6	0.54	-0.35	0.64	0.8	-0.57		0.54	0.25	0.43	-0.62	0.48	-0.69	0.59	0.4	0.66	-0.61	0.47
Net Tangible Assets	0.86	0.85	0.3	0.83	0.82	0.81	0.66	0.03	0.61	0.82	-0.35	0.81	0.83	-0.38	0.54		0.83	0.84	-0.75	0.71	-0.5	0.77	0.72	0.94	-0.72	0.52
Long Term Debt Total	0.82	0.71	0.74	0.9	0.77	0.98	0.46	0.05	0.22	0.68	-0.37	0.82	0.66	-0.08	0.25	0.83		0.77	-0.67	0.57	-0.31	0.64	0.46	0.8	-0.7	0.45
Capital Surpluse	0.84	0.82	0.32	0.82	0.73	0.79	0.58	0.15	0.6	0.72	-0.59	0.79	0.81	-0.15	0.43	0.84	0.77		-0.54	0.65	-0.63	0.73	0.56	0.81	-0.69	0.54
Long Term Investments	-0.75	-0.73	-0.31	-0.75	-0.7	-0.64	-0.47	0.27	-0.35	-0.71	0.2	-0.84	-0.73	0.52	-0.62	-0.75	-0.67	-0.54		-0.57	0.43	-0.66	-0.44	-0.86	0.81	-0.54
Current Deferred Revenue	0.85	0.89	0.22	0.78	0.85	0.49	0.93	0.35	0.48	0.91	-0.24	0.7	0.57	-0.23	0.48	0.71	0.57	0.65	-0.57		-0.39	0.91	0.62	0.78	-0.55	0.88
Short Long Term Debt	-0.49	-0.5	0.1	-0.46	-0.37	-0.36	-0.32	0.29	-0.63	-0.38	0.35	-0.61	-0.77	0.57	-0.69	-0.5	-0.31	-0.63	0.43	-0.39		-0.51	-0.36	-0.63	0.59	-0.37
Short Term Debt	0.89	0.92	0.15	0.82	0.84	0.58	0.91	0.24	0.65	0.91	-0.3	0.85	0.72	-0.31	0.59	0.77	0.64	0.73	-0.66	0.91	-0.51		0.76	0.83	-0.53	0.81
Cash And Equivalents	0.56	0.64	-0.17	0.47	0.54	0.41	0.78	0.28	0.76	0.66	-0.17	0.51	0.5	-0.29	0.4	0.72	0.46	0.56	-0.44	0.62	-0.36	0.76		0.64	-0.18	0.36
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.91	0.32	0.89	0.88	0.77	0.7	-0.04	0.55	0.88	-0.35	0.9	0.87	-0.47	0.66	0.94	0.8	0.81	-0.86	0.78	-0.63	0.83	0.64		-0.84	0.68
Net Working Capital	-0.76	-0.7	-0.5	-0.79	-0.71	-0.69	-0.33	0.29	-0.21	-0.64	0.32	-0.81	-0.79	0.45	-0.61	-0.72	-0.7	-0.69	0.81	-0.55	0.59	-0.53	-0.18	-0.84		-0.57
Capital Stock	0.84	0.87	0.25	0.77	0.86	0.37	0.83	0.34	0.34	0.89	-0.23	0.68	0.48	-0.19	0.47	0.52	0.45	0.54	-0.54	0.88	-0.37	0.81	0.36	0.68	-0.57

Click cells to compare fundamentals

In a nutshell, Beta is a measure of individual stock risk relative to the overall volatility of the stock market. and is calculated based on very sound finance theory - Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM).However, since Beta is calculated based on historical price movements it may not predict how a firm's stock is going to perform in the future.

Competition

Predict Forestar

In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Forestar Group has a Beta of 1.763. This is 144.86% higher than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The beta for all United States stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.

Forestar Beta Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Forestar's direct or indirect competition against its Beta to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Forestar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forestar by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Forestar is currently under evaluation in beta category among its peers.

Forestar Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Forestar from analyzing Forestar's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Forestar's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Forestar's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	767.3M	850.3M	911.0M	557.5M	1.3B	1.6B
Enterprise Value	845.0M	1.1B	1.5B	998.7M	1.4B	1.9B

Forestar ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Forestar's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Forestar's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Forestar Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Forestar that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Forestar's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Forestar's value.

		Shares
Heartland Advisors Inc	2024-09-30	350 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.	2024-09-30	320.3 K
Empowered Funds, Llc	2024-09-30	318 K
Royal Bank Of Canada	2024-09-30	286.4 K
Long Pond Capital, Lp	2024-09-30	258.3 K
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.	2024-09-30	237.7 K
Denali Advisors Llc	2024-09-30	232.6 K
Moody Aldrich Partners, Llc	2024-09-30	216.4 K
Qube Research & Technologies	2024-09-30	212.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2024-09-30	2.6 M

As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform.

Forestar Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.14
	Return On Asset	0.0567
	Profit Margin	0.13 %
	Operating Margin	0.18 %
	Current Valuation	1.67 B
	Shares Outstanding	50.67 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	62.59 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	36.59 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	318.34 K
	Price To Earning	8.42 X
	Price To Book	0.90 X
	Price To Sales	0.95 X
	Revenue	1.51 B
	Gross Profit	323.5 M
	EBITDA	240.8 M
	Net Income	203.4 M
	Cash And Equivalents	616 M
	Cash Per Share	2.94 X
	Total Debt	716.6 M
	Debt To Equity	0.62 %
	Current Ratio	0.93 X
	Book Value Per Share	31.47 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(158.4 M)
	Short Ratio	2.55 X
	Earnings Per Share	4.00 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	3.50 X
	Target Price	39.75
	Beta	1.76
	Market Capitalization	1.44 B
	Total Asset	2.84 B
	Retained Earnings	878.2 M
	Working Capital	99.9 M
	Current Asset	111.47 M
	Current Liabilities	59.26 M
	Net Asset	2.84 B

About Forestar Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Forestar Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Forestar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forestar Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Forestar

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Forestar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Forestar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Forestar Stock

0.8	IRS	IRSA Inversiones Y	Pair Corr
0.72	CBL	CBL Associates Properties	Pair Corr
0.72	LRE	Lead Real Estate	Pair Corr
0.68	FRPH	Frp Holdings Ord	Pair Corr
0.67	ZG	Zillow Group	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Forestar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Forestar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Forestar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Forestar Group to buy it.

The correlation of Forestar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Forestar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Forestar Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Forestar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis

When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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