Federal National Mortgage Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FNMAN Stock  USD 16.75  0.85  5.35%   
Federal National's likelihood of distress is under 9% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Federal balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal National Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  

Federal National Mortgage OTC Stock odds of distress Analysis

Federal National's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Federal National Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 9%  
Most of Federal National's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Federal National Mortgage is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Federal National probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Federal National odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Federal National Mortgage financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Federal National Mortgage has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 81.97% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Mortgage Finance industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Federal National's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the otc stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal National by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Federal National is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Federal Fundamentals

About Federal National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Federal National Mortgage's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Federal National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal National Mortgage based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Federal National

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Federal National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federal National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Federal OTC Stock

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Moving against Federal OTC Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Federal National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Federal National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Federal National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Federal National Mortgage to buy it.
The correlation of Federal National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Federal National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Federal National Mortgage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Federal National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Federal OTC Stock

Federal National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal National security.