Essent Group Stock Beneish M Score

ESNT Stock  USD 57.78  0.04  0.07%   
This module uses fundamental data of Essent to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Essent M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Essent Piotroski F Score and Essent Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Essent's Net Debt is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt is likely to gain to about 388.5 M in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 327.4 M in 2024. At this time, Essent's POCF Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payout Ratio is likely to gain to 0.16 in 2024, whereas Free Cash Flow Yield is likely to drop 0.09 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Essent Group is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Essent's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Essent executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Essent's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.45
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.99

Focus
Asset Quality

1.06

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.31

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.72

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.31

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.63

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.68

Focus

Essent Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Essent's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables33.4 M63.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue581.4 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.3 B6.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets194.8 M205.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.2 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment11.5 M22.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization4.2 M4.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative80.5 M114.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities372.3 M500.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total896.2 M853.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term DebtM5.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.5 B1.8 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments3.3 B5.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.590.8205
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Essent Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Essent's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Essent in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Essent's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Essent Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

4.16 Million

At this time, Essent's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Essent Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Essent. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables40.7M50.1M46.2M57.4M63.3M33.4M
Total Revenue867.6M955.2M972.1M972.1M1.1B581.4M
Total Assets3.9B5.2B5.7B5.7B6.4B3.3B
Total Current Assets3.5B4.7B5.1B390.7M205.1M194.8M
Net Debt152.9M218.9M338.3M339.6M280.1M294.1M
Short Term Debt224.2M321.7M419.8M420.9M5.3M5.0M
Long Term Debt248.6M223.7M224.2M321.7M370.0M388.5M
Operating Income655.7M480.3M811.9M1.0B970.2M1.0B
Investments(541.7M)(1.2B)(580.7M)(394.9M)(542.2M)(569.3M)
Gross Profit Margin0.750.790.810.840.830.82

Essent ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Essent's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Essent's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Essent Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Essent Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Essent using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Essent Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Essent Stock Analysis

When running Essent's price analysis, check to measure Essent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essent is operating at the current time. Most of Essent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.