Duluth Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

DLTH Stock

USD 3.09 0.19 6.55%

Duluth Holdings' likelihood of distress is under 30% at the present time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Duluth balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Duluth Holdings Piotroski F Score and Duluth Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.

For more detail on how to invest in Duluth Stock please use our How to Invest in Duluth Holdings guide.

Duluth Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Duluth Holdings' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Duluth Holdings Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 30%

Most of Duluth Holdings' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Duluth Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Duluth Holdings probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Duluth Holdings odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Duluth Holdings financial health.

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duluth Holdings. If investors know Duluth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duluth Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.07)

Earnings Share

(0.99)

Revenue Per Share

19.386

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.018

Return On Assets

(0.01)

The market value of Duluth Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duluth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duluth Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duluth Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duluth Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duluth Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Duluth Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duluth Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duluth Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Duluth Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Duluth Holdings is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Duluth Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Duluth Holdings' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Duluth Holdings' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Duluth Holdings' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Capital Surpluse
Total Assets		0.97	0.94	0.93	0.94	0.93	0.76	0.76	-0.25	0.99	0.98	0.79	-0.49	0.81	0.86	0.96	0.56	0.27	0.69	0.95	-0.41	0.91	0.63	0.48
Total Stockholder Equity	0.97		0.95	0.82	0.9	0.91	0.65	0.77	-0.28	0.92	0.97	0.78	-0.41	0.91	0.79	0.99	0.46	0.13	0.62	0.89	-0.44	0.83	0.64	0.52
Current Deferred Revenue	0.94	0.95		0.84	0.88	0.85	0.75	0.74	-0.23	0.9	0.9	0.67	-0.55	0.83	0.86	0.93	0.63	0.13	0.75	0.88	-0.34	0.81	0.53	0.39
Net Debt	0.93	0.82	0.84		0.87	0.84	0.87	0.66	-0.21	0.96	0.84	0.68	-0.5	0.62	0.86	0.82	0.69	0.35	0.82	0.92	-0.36	0.85	0.52	0.4
Retained Earnings	0.94	0.9	0.88	0.87		0.97	0.63	0.81	-0.27	0.94	0.9	0.85	-0.38	0.63	0.74	0.91	0.44	0.21	0.54	0.92	-0.46	0.89	0.69	0.55
Accounts Payable	0.93	0.91	0.85	0.84	0.97		0.57	0.83	-0.3	0.92	0.91	0.88	-0.25	0.68	0.65	0.93	0.35	0.13	0.48	0.9	-0.54	0.85	0.75	0.63
Long Term Debt	0.76	0.65	0.75	0.87	0.63	0.57		0.47	-0.09	0.8	0.67	0.39	-0.72	0.54	0.88	0.62	0.94	0.51	0.94	0.81	-0.14	0.73	0.24	0.1
Net Receivables	0.76	0.77	0.74	0.66	0.81	0.83	0.47		-0.73	0.72	0.72	0.93	-0.32	0.6	0.51	0.81	0.29	0.06	0.44	0.85	-0.81	0.72	0.93	0.83
Good Will	-0.25	-0.28	-0.23	-0.21	-0.27	-0.3	-0.09	-0.73		-0.22	-0.23	-0.66	0.15	-0.25	-0.11	-0.33	0.07	-0.03	-0.14	-0.42	0.87	-0.3	-0.83	-0.79
Total Liab	0.99	0.92	0.9	0.96	0.94	0.92	0.8	0.72	-0.22		0.95	0.78	-0.52	0.72	0.87	0.91	0.6	0.35	0.71	0.96	-0.38	0.93	0.6	0.44
Total Current Assets	0.98	0.97	0.9	0.84	0.9	0.91	0.67	0.72	-0.23	0.95		0.8	-0.46	0.84	0.8	0.95	0.46	0.29	0.58	0.92	-0.4	0.92	0.63	0.44
Short Term Debt	0.79	0.78	0.67	0.68	0.85	0.88	0.39	0.93	-0.66	0.78	0.8		-0.24	0.56	0.49	0.8	0.12	0.15	0.3	0.85	-0.78	0.81	0.95	0.81
Intangible Assets	-0.49	-0.41	-0.55	-0.5	-0.38	-0.25	-0.72	-0.32	0.15	-0.52	-0.46	-0.24		-0.36	-0.82	-0.36	-0.74	-0.35	-0.7	-0.57	-0.12	-0.58	-0.1	0.12
Common Stock	0.81	0.91	0.83	0.62	0.63	0.68	0.54	0.6	-0.25	0.72	0.84	0.56	-0.36		0.68	0.89	0.39	0.03	0.57	0.69	-0.35	0.62	0.48	0.39
Property Plant Equipment	0.86	0.79	0.86	0.86	0.74	0.65	0.88	0.51	-0.11	0.87	0.8	0.49	-0.82	0.68		0.75	0.79	0.33	0.86	0.83	-0.06	0.8	0.3	0.13
Net Tangible Assets	0.96	0.99	0.93	0.82	0.91	0.93	0.62	0.81	-0.33	0.91	0.95	0.8	-0.36	0.89	0.75		0.42	0.12	0.58	0.88	-0.51	0.8	0.69	0.61
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.56	0.46	0.63	0.69	0.44	0.35	0.94	0.29	0.07	0.6	0.46	0.12	-0.74	0.39	0.79	0.42		0.41	0.91	0.61	0.09	0.52	-0.01	-0.12
Short Long Term Debt	0.27	0.13	0.13	0.35	0.21	0.13	0.51	0.06	-0.03	0.35	0.29	0.15	-0.35	0.03	0.33	0.12	0.41		0.25	0.37	-0.11	0.49	0.1	-0.02
Long Term Debt Total	0.69	0.62	0.75	0.82	0.54	0.48	0.94	0.44	-0.14	0.71	0.58	0.3	-0.7	0.57	0.86	0.58	0.91	0.25		0.71	-0.12	0.58	0.19	0.08
Net Invested Capital	0.95	0.89	0.88	0.92	0.92	0.9	0.81	0.85	-0.42	0.96	0.92	0.85	-0.57	0.69	0.83	0.88	0.61	0.37	0.71		-0.53	0.95	0.72	0.54
Long Term Investments	-0.41	-0.44	-0.34	-0.36	-0.46	-0.54	-0.14	-0.81	0.87	-0.38	-0.4	-0.78	-0.12	-0.35	-0.06	-0.51	0.09	-0.11	-0.12	-0.53		-0.41	-0.92	-0.91
Net Working Capital	0.91	0.83	0.81	0.85	0.89	0.85	0.73	0.72	-0.3	0.93	0.92	0.81	-0.58	0.62	0.8	0.8	0.52	0.49	0.58	0.95	-0.41		0.64	0.37
Capital Stock	0.63	0.64	0.53	0.52	0.69	0.75	0.24	0.93	-0.83	0.6	0.63	0.95	-0.1	0.48	0.3	0.69	-0.01	0.1	0.19	0.72	-0.92	0.64		0.92
Capital Surpluse	0.48	0.52	0.39	0.4	0.55	0.63	0.1	0.83	-0.79	0.44	0.44	0.81	0.12	0.39	0.13	0.61	-0.12	-0.02	0.08	0.54	-0.91	0.37	0.92

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Duluth Holdings

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Duluth Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 30.0%. This is 27.52% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 24.68% higher than that of the company.

Duluth Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Duluth Holdings' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Duluth Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duluth Holdings by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Duluth Holdings is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Duluth Holdings Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	223.0M	190.1M	113.2M	154.3M	154.1M	86.5M
Total Current Liabilities	78.8M	95.7M	116.0M	118.3M	102.4M	72.2M
Non Current Liabilities Total	219.2M	228.8M	176.8M	182.0M	165.8M	110.5M
Total Assets	474.1M	515.6M	515.6M	527.5M	490.5M	343.9M
Total Current Assets	162.2M	210.3M	222.5M	225.9M	181.0M	151.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	6.7M	50.8M	92.0M	(5.6M)	38.7M	31.7M

Duluth Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Duluth Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Duluth Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Duluth Fundamentals

Return On Equity	-0.0692
Return On Asset	-0.0147
Profit Margin	(0.02) %
Operating Margin	0.0008 %
Current Valuation	299.75 M
Shares Outstanding	31.81 M
Shares Owned By Insiders	56.87 %
Shares Owned By Institutions	26.71 %
Number Of Shares Shorted	304.39 K
Price To Earning	21.48 X
Price To Book	0.54 X
Price To Sales	0.16 X
Revenue	646.68 M
Gross Profit	343.44 M
EBITDA	24.25 M
Net Income	(9.36 M)
Cash And Equivalents	15.37 M
Cash Per Share	0.47 X
Total Debt	186.23 M
Debt To Equity	0.81 %
Current Ratio	2.02 X
Book Value Per Share	6.55 X
Cash Flow From Operations	38.67 M
Short Ratio	7.06 X
Earnings Per Share	(0.99) X
Price To Earnings To Growth	1.37 X
Target Price	3.5
Number Of Employees	950
Beta	1.34
Market Capitalization	102.01 M
Total Asset	490.45 M
Retained Earnings	123.82 M
Working Capital	78.53 M	Updating Transaction... Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions Feedback Blog Made with optimal in San Francisco 2024 Macroaxis LLC COMMON DESTINATIONS My Portfolios Thematic Proposal Market Map Investment Tools Equity Filter ETFs Funds Companies Insiders Buy or Sell Advice Correlations Patterns Technical Analysis Risk-Return Landscape Investing Ideas Portfolio Center Financial Advisers Economic Indicators MAIN CATEGORIES Portfolio Optimization Equity Research Economic Indicators Watchlist Tools AI Investment Finder FinTech Suite Market Snapshot Latest Stories Investing Sectors AI Portfolio Architect Financial Widgets COMPANY Macroaxis Sign-In Home About Us Contact Us Quick Product Tour FAQs Privacy Policy Terms Of Use Plan & Pricing

Duluth Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Duluth Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Duluth Holdings Probability Of Bankruptcy

Duluth Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Duluth Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Duluth Holdings Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Duluth Holdings ESG Sustainability

Duluth Fundamentals

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