Comtech Telecommunications Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CMTL Stock  USD 1.70  0.10  5.56%   
Comtech Telecommunicatio's odds of distress is below 50% at the moment. It has small probability of experiencing financial distress in the next few years. Comtech Telecommunicatio's Odds of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Comtech Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Comtech balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Piotroski F Score and Comtech Telecommunicatio Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is expected to rise to about 384.8 M this year. Enterprise Value is expected to rise to about 394.8 M this year

Comtech Telecommunications Corp Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Comtech Telecommunicatio's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Comtech Telecommunicatio Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 42%  
Most of Comtech Telecommunicatio's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Comtech Telecommunications Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Comtech Telecommunicatio probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Comtech Telecommunicatio odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Comtech Telecommunications Corp financial health.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. If investors know Comtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comtech Telecommunicatio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
Earnings Share
(9.88)
Revenue Per Share
17.405
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comtech Telecommunicatio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comtech Telecommunicatio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Comtech Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Comtech Telecommunicatio is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Comtech Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Comtech Telecommunicatio's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Comtech Telecommunicatio's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Comtech Telecommunications Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This is 3.81% higher than that of the Communications Equipment sector and 2.04% higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.

Comtech Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Comtech Telecommunicatio's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comtech Telecommunicatio by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Comtech Telecommunicatio is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.074)(0.0339)(0.027)(0.1)(0.12)(0.11)
Net Debt218.5M161.5M195.9M180.2M207.3M217.6M
Total Current Liabilities203.6M193.5M212.0M183.5M211.1M221.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total288.8M209.1M233.8M290.7M334.4M351.1M
Total Assets993.1M974.3M996.2M960.6M1.1B1.2B
Total Current Assets287.5M263.3M305.5M336.6M387.0M275.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(40.6M)2.0M(4.4M)(64.8M)(74.5M)(70.8M)

Comtech Fundamentals

About Comtech Telecommunicatio Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Comtech Telecommunications Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Comtech Telecommunicatio using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Comtech Telecommunicatio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Comtech Telecommunicatio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Comtech Telecommunicatio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Comtech Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Piotroski F Score and Comtech Telecommunicatio Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. If investors know Comtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comtech Telecommunicatio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
Earnings Share
(9.88)
Revenue Per Share
17.405
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comtech Telecommunicatio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comtech Telecommunicatio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.