Bogota Financial Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BSBK Stock

USD 8.00 0.07 0.88%

Bogota Financial's odds of distress is below 50% at the moment. It has small probability of experiencing financial straits in the next few years. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Bogota Financial's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Bogota balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Bogota Financial Piotroski F Score and Bogota Financial Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is expected to rise to about 152.1 M this year, although Enterprise Value will most likely fall to about 235.1 M.

Bogota Financial Corp Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Bogota Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Bogota Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 47%

Most of Bogota Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Bogota Financial Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Bogota Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Bogota Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Bogota Financial Corp financial health.

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bogota Financial. If investors know Bogota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bogota Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Earnings Share

(0.19)

Revenue Per Share

0.987

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.06)

Return On Assets

(0)

The market value of Bogota Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bogota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bogota Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bogota Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bogota Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bogota Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bogota Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bogota Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bogota Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bogota Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Bogota Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Bogota Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Bogota Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Bogota Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Bogota Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Earning Assets	Capital Surpluse	Capital Stock	Common Stock
Total Assets		0.91	0.92	0.54	0.99	0.97	0.84	0.97	0.92	0.28	0.95	0.93	0.21	0.54	0.7	0.73	0.94	0.88	0.72	-0.25	-0.25
Total Stockholder Equity	0.91		1.0	0.38	0.92	0.88	0.71	0.93	0.83	0.06	0.93	0.84	0.04	0.61	0.69	0.76	0.96	0.89	0.75	-0.07	-0.07
Net Tangible Assets	0.92	1.0		0.38	0.92	0.89	0.72	0.93	0.82	0.08	0.93	0.85	0.04	0.6	0.7	0.76	0.97	0.89	0.73	-0.05	-0.05
Net Debt	0.54	0.38	0.38		0.57	0.63	0.63	0.6	0.73	0.81	0.54	0.66	0.76	-0.27	0.71	0.36	0.48	0.13	0.34	-0.63	-0.63
Retained Earnings	0.99	0.92	0.92	0.57		0.98	0.84	0.97	0.92	0.3	0.96	0.93	0.2	0.49	0.7	0.73	0.95	0.85	0.76	-0.29	-0.29
Accounts Payable	0.97	0.88	0.89	0.63	0.98		0.83	0.97	0.92	0.46	0.94	0.97	0.34	0.37	0.77	0.77	0.95	0.78	0.69	-0.22	-0.22
Long Term Debt	0.84	0.71	0.72	0.63	0.84	0.83		0.85	0.71	0.42	0.91	0.72	0.33	0.17	0.77	0.42	0.72	0.7	0.5	-0.45	-0.45
Net Receivables	0.97	0.93	0.93	0.6	0.97	0.97	0.85		0.9	0.35	0.96	0.93	0.27	0.43	0.77	0.68	0.94	0.85	0.62	-0.22	-0.22
Short Term Investments	0.92	0.83	0.82	0.73	0.92	0.92	0.71	0.9		0.41	0.83	0.94	0.41	0.42	0.71	0.76	0.87	0.68	0.72	-0.36	-0.36
Total Liab	0.28	0.06	0.08	0.81	0.3	0.46	0.42	0.35	0.41		0.28	0.51	0.84	-0.59	0.58	0.25	0.26	-0.13	0.0	-0.3	-0.3
Net Invested Capital	0.95	0.93	0.93	0.54	0.96	0.94	0.91	0.96	0.83	0.28		0.86	0.18	0.4	0.78	0.66	0.93	0.85	0.69	-0.25	-0.25
Long Term Investments	0.93	0.84	0.85	0.66	0.93	0.97	0.72	0.93	0.94	0.51	0.86		0.45	0.34	0.78	0.84	0.93	0.7	0.65	-0.13	-0.13
Short Long Term Debt	0.21	0.04	0.04	0.76	0.2	0.34	0.33	0.27	0.41	0.84	0.18	0.45		-0.44	0.67	0.31	0.19	-0.16	-0.02	-0.22	-0.22
Total Current Assets	0.54	0.61	0.6	-0.27	0.49	0.37	0.17	0.43	0.42	-0.59	0.4	0.34	-0.44		0.01	0.43	0.49	0.77	0.53	0.15	0.15
Short Term Debt	0.7	0.69	0.7	0.71	0.7	0.77	0.77	0.77	0.71	0.58	0.78	0.78	0.67	0.01		0.67	0.76	0.46	0.45	-0.14	-0.14
Intangible Assets	0.73	0.76	0.76	0.36	0.73	0.77	0.42	0.68	0.76	0.25	0.66	0.84	0.31	0.43	0.67		0.87	0.55	0.75	0.18	0.18
Property Plant Equipment	0.94	0.96	0.97	0.48	0.95	0.95	0.72	0.94	0.87	0.26	0.93	0.93	0.19	0.49	0.76	0.87		0.82	0.77	-0.04	-0.04
Earning Assets	0.88	0.89	0.89	0.13	0.85	0.78	0.7	0.85	0.68	-0.13	0.85	0.7	-0.16	0.77	0.46	0.55	0.82		0.57	-0.01	-0.01
Capital Surpluse	0.72	0.75	0.73	0.34	0.76	0.69	0.5	0.62	0.72	0.0	0.69	0.65	-0.02	0.53	0.45	0.75	0.77	0.57		-0.32	-0.32
Capital Stock	-0.25	-0.07	-0.05	-0.63	-0.29	-0.22	-0.45	-0.22	-0.36	-0.3	-0.25	-0.13	-0.22	0.15	-0.14	0.18	-0.04	-0.01	-0.32		1.0
Common Stock	-0.25	-0.07	-0.05	-0.63	-0.29	-0.22	-0.45	-0.22	-0.36	-0.3	-0.25	-0.13	-0.22	0.15	-0.14	0.18	-0.04	-0.01	-0.32	1.0

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Bogota Financial

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Bogota Financial Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 47.0%. This is 5.87% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 18.0% lower than that of the firm.

Bogota Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Bogota Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Bogota Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bogota Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Bogota Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Bogota Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.002791	0.008981	0.00723	6.84E-4	7.87E-4	7.47E-4
Asset Turnover	0.0329	0.033	0.0331	0.0172	0.0197	0.0343
Net Debt	23.9M	(20.0M)	144.5M	142.8M	164.2M	172.4M
Total Current Liabilities	148.8M	459.2M	59M	576.4M	518.7M	279.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total	104.3M	85.1M	59M	802.2M	922.5M	968.6M
Total Assets	740.9M	837.4M	951.1M	939.3M	1.1B	870.8M
Total Current Assets	95.1M	149.6M	105.9M	57.7M	66.4M	98.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	5.8M	5.2M	9.6M	1.4M	1.7M	1.6M

Bogota Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Bogota Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Bogota Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Bogota Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.016
	Return On Asset	-0.0023
	Profit Margin	(0.18) %
	Operating Margin	(0.07) %
	Current Valuation	281.91 M
	Shares Outstanding	13.07 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	68.40 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	7.90 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	8.18 K
	Price To Earning	23.19 X
	Price To Book	0.73 X
	Price To Sales	8.34 X
	Revenue	38.42 M
	Gross Profit	23.78 M
	EBITDA	4.76 M
	Net Income	642.53 K
	Cash And Equivalents	7.6 M
	Cash Per Share	0.56 X
	Total Debt	167.69 M
	Debt To Equity	9.83 %
	Book Value Per Share	10.80 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.44 M
	Short Ratio	1.78 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.19) X
	Target Price	12.0
	Beta	0.53
	Market Capitalization	103.29 M
	Total Asset	939.32 M
	Retained Earnings	92.18 M
	Net Asset	939.32 M

About Bogota Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bogota Financial Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bogota Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bogota Financial Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Bogota Financial Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Bogota Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bogota Financial Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bogota Financial Corp Stock:

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What is Bogota Financial's Net Worth?

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Check out Bogota Financial Piotroski F Score and Bogota Financial Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Earnings Share

(0.19)

Revenue Per Share

0.987

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.06)

Return On Assets

(0)

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Bogota Financial Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Bogota Financial Corp Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Bogota Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Bogota Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Bogota Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Bogota Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Bogota Financial ESG Sustainability

Bogota Fundamentals

About Bogota Financial Fundamental Analysis

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

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