Berry Petroleum Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BRY Stock

USD 4.08 0.15 3.82%

Berry Petroleum's probability of distress is under 35% at this time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Berry balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Berry Petroleum Piotroski F Score and Berry Petroleum Altman Z Score analysis.

Berry Petroleum Corp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Berry Petroleum's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Berry Petroleum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 35%

Most of Berry Petroleum's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Berry Petroleum Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Berry Petroleum probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Berry Petroleum odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Berry Petroleum Corp financial health.

Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Berry Petroleum. If investors know Berry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Berry Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.11)

Dividend Share

0.58

Earnings Share

1.08

Revenue Per Share

10.552

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.17)

The market value of Berry Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Berry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Berry Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Berry Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Berry Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Berry Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Berry Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Berry Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Berry Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Berry Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Berry Petroleum is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Berry Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Berry Petroleum's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Berry Petroleum's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Berry Petroleum's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Net Receivables	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Treasury Stock	Capital Stock	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Current Deferred Revenue
Total Assets		0.91	-0.11	0.84	0.93	-0.61	0.94	0.0	0.97	0.55	0.26	-0.03	0.54	0.06	0.55	0.62	0.62	-0.19	-0.46	-0.12	0.47	-0.33	0.15	-0.19	0.15
Total Stockholder Equity	0.91		0.06	0.73	0.78	-0.38	0.71	-0.24	0.87	0.48	0.21	-0.06	0.38	0.11	0.38	0.38	0.37	-0.15	-0.26	-0.01	0.33	-0.27	0.15	-0.16	0.15
Retained Earnings	-0.11	0.06		0.33	0.11	0.23	-0.23	0.49	-0.09	0.36	0.58	-0.38	0.21	0.64	0.14	-0.22	-0.22	0.11	0.23	0.06	-0.16	0.15	-0.1	0.1	-0.1
Accounts Payable	0.84	0.73	0.33		0.94	-0.67	0.82	0.45	0.84	0.84	0.65	-0.23	0.8	0.4	0.78	0.69	0.69	-0.18	-0.51	-0.19	0.48	-0.32	0.13	-0.17	0.13
Long Term Debt	0.93	0.78	0.11	0.94		-0.65	0.92	0.27	0.91	0.68	0.51	-0.19	0.72	0.3	0.71	0.66	0.66	-0.2	-0.5	-0.16	0.48	-0.33	0.14	-0.18	0.14
Short Term Investments	-0.61	-0.38	0.23	-0.67	-0.65		-0.71	-0.38	-0.62	-0.8	-0.4	0.04	-0.88	-0.11	-0.9	-0.99	-0.98	0.43	0.8	0.12	-0.77	0.68	-0.44	0.44	-0.44
Total Liab	0.94	0.71	-0.23	0.82	0.92	-0.71		0.18	0.92	0.53	0.26	0.0	0.59	0.02	0.61	0.72	0.73	-0.2	-0.55	-0.2	0.51	-0.34	0.14	-0.18	0.14
Common Stock	0.0	-0.24	0.49	0.45	0.27	-0.38	0.18		0.04	0.54	0.53	-0.25	0.55	0.4	0.52	0.39	0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.07	0.26	-0.21	0.12	-0.12	0.12
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.87	-0.09	0.84	0.91	-0.62	0.92	0.04		0.57	0.33	0.14	0.55	0.06	0.54	0.63	0.63	-0.06	-0.45	-0.17	0.5	-0.32	0.12	-0.14	0.12
Net Tangible Assets	0.55	0.48	0.36	0.84	0.68	-0.8	0.53	0.54	0.57		0.71	-0.3	0.94	0.48	0.92	0.81	0.81	-0.29	-0.56	-0.09	0.61	-0.48	0.27	-0.29	0.27
Net Receivables	0.26	0.21	0.58	0.65	0.51	-0.4	0.26	0.53	0.33	0.71		-0.17	0.73	0.69	0.65	0.42	0.43	0.1	-0.29	-0.25	0.12	-0.07	0.03	0.01	0.03
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.03	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-0.19	0.04	0.0	-0.25	0.14	-0.3	-0.17		-0.26	-0.25	-0.28	-0.06	-0.08	0.25	-0.09	0.03	0.11	-0.1	0.09	0.08	0.09
Short Long Term Debt	0.54	0.38	0.21	0.8	0.72	-0.88	0.59	0.55	0.55	0.94	0.73	-0.26		0.46	0.99	0.88	0.87	-0.33	-0.7	-0.15	0.67	-0.55	0.32	-0.32	0.32
Total Current Assets	0.06	0.11	0.64	0.4	0.3	-0.11	0.02	0.4	0.06	0.48	0.69	-0.25	0.46		0.39	0.12	0.13	-0.33	0.02	0.43	0.19	-0.12	0.07	-0.13	0.07
Short Term Debt	0.55	0.38	0.14	0.78	0.71	-0.9	0.61	0.52	0.54	0.92	0.65	-0.28	0.99	0.39		0.9	0.89	-0.4	-0.77	-0.17	0.71	-0.59	0.35	-0.36	0.35
Long Term Debt Total	0.62	0.38	-0.22	0.69	0.66	-0.99	0.72	0.39	0.63	0.81	0.42	-0.06	0.88	0.12	0.9		1.0	-0.38	-0.78	-0.17	0.75	-0.6	0.34	-0.37	0.34
Capital Surpluse	0.62	0.37	-0.22	0.69	0.66	-0.98	0.73	0.39	0.63	0.81	0.43	-0.08	0.87	0.13	0.89	1.0		-0.34	-0.74	-0.18	0.71	-0.54	0.29	-0.33	0.29
Net Debt	-0.19	-0.15	0.11	-0.18	-0.2	0.43	-0.2	-0.12	-0.06	-0.29	0.1	0.25	-0.33	-0.33	-0.4	-0.38	-0.34		0.39	-0.61	-0.54	0.68	-0.65	0.79	-0.65
Net Invested Capital	-0.46	-0.26	0.23	-0.51	-0.5	0.8	-0.55	-0.27	-0.45	-0.56	-0.29	-0.09	-0.7	0.02	-0.77	-0.78	-0.74	0.39		0.33	-0.66	0.6	-0.41	0.34	-0.41
Net Working Capital	-0.12	-0.01	0.06	-0.19	-0.16	0.12	-0.2	-0.07	-0.17	-0.09	-0.25	0.03	-0.15	0.43	-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.61	0.33		0.21	-0.37	0.42	-0.44	0.42
Treasury Stock	0.47	0.33	-0.16	0.48	0.48	-0.77	0.51	0.26	0.5	0.61	0.12	0.11	0.67	0.19	0.71	0.75	0.71	-0.54	-0.66	0.21		-0.78	0.41	-0.39	0.41
Capital Stock	-0.33	-0.27	0.15	-0.32	-0.33	0.68	-0.34	-0.21	-0.32	-0.48	-0.07	-0.1	-0.55	-0.12	-0.59	-0.6	-0.54	0.68	0.6	-0.37	-0.78		-0.88	0.68	-0.88
Long Term Investments	0.15	0.15	-0.1	0.13	0.14	-0.44	0.14	0.12	0.12	0.27	0.03	0.09	0.32	0.07	0.35	0.34	0.29	-0.65	-0.41	0.42	0.41	-0.88		-0.8	1.0
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.19	-0.16	0.1	-0.17	-0.18	0.44	-0.18	-0.12	-0.14	-0.29	0.01	0.08	-0.32	-0.13	-0.36	-0.37	-0.33	0.79	0.34	-0.44	-0.39	0.68	-0.8		-0.8
Current Deferred Revenue	0.15	0.15	-0.1	0.13	0.14	-0.44	0.14	0.12	0.12	0.27	0.03	0.09	0.32	0.07	0.35	0.34	0.29	-0.65	-0.41	0.42	0.41	-0.88	1.0	-0.8

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Berry Petroleum

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Berry Petroleum Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 35.0%. This is 27.42% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 28.09% lower than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 12.13% higher than that of the company.

Berry Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Berry Petroleum's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Berry Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berry Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Berry Petroleum is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Berry Petroleum Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0258	(0.19)	(0.0107)	0.15	0.0235	0.0246
Gross Profit Margin	0.43	0.16	0.38	0.41	0.27	0.29
Net Debt	394.3M	312.9M	379.3M	351.2M	431.2M	398.7M
Total Current Liabilities	156.6M	175.3M	187.1M	234.2M	223.2M	266.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total	561.1M	530.5M	576.7M	596.3M	613M	616.6M
Total Assets	1.7B	1.4B	1.5B	1.6B	1.6B	2.0B
Total Current Assets	100.4M	154.5M	147.5M	218.1M	140.8M	166.3M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	241.8M	196.5M	122.5M	360.9M	198.7M	233.9M

Berry Petroleum ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Berry Petroleum's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Berry Petroleum's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Berry Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.12
	Return On Asset	0.0624
	Profit Margin	0.10 %
	Operating Margin	0.54 %
	Current Valuation	720.73 M
	Shares Outstanding	76.94 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.55 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	89.80 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.11 M
	Price To Earning	130.00 X
	Price To Book	0.41 X
	Price To Sales	0.37 X
	Revenue	863.45 M
	Gross Profit	583.61 M
	EBITDA	251.38 M
	Net Income	37.4 M
	Cash And Equivalents	52.49 M
	Cash Per Share	0.67 X
	Total Debt	436.06 M
	Debt To Equity	0.63 %
	Current Ratio	0.78 X
	Book Value Per Share	9.52 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	198.66 M
	Short Ratio	1.70 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.08 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.30 X
	Target Price	6.54
	Number Of Employees	1.28 K
	Beta	1.73
	Market Capitalization	302.37 M
	Total Asset	1.59 B
	Retained Earnings	52.5 M
	Working Capital	(82.38 M)
	Current Asset	157.03 M
	Current Liabilities	286.63 M
	Annual Yield	0.15 %
	Net Asset	1.59 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.58

About Berry Petroleum Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Berry Petroleum Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Berry Petroleum using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Berry Petroleum Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Berry Stock Analysis

When running Berry Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Berry Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berry Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Berry Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berry Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berry Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berry Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Berry Petroleum Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Berry Petroleum Corp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Berry Petroleum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Berry Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Berry Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Berry Petroleum Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Berry Petroleum ESG Sustainability

Berry Fundamentals

About Berry Petroleum Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Berry Stock Analysis

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