Axos Financial Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AX Stock

USD 82.85 0.93 1.11%

Axos Financial's odds of distress is less than 3% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Axos balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Axos Financial Piotroski F Score and Axos Financial Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Axos Stock please use our How to Invest in Axos Financial guide.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 3.5 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 1.8 B in 2024

Axos Financial Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Axos Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Axos Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Axos Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Axos Financial is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Axos Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Axos Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Axos Financial financial health.

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axos Financial. If investors know Axos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axos Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.399

Earnings Share

8.21

Revenue Per Share

19.773

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.285

Return On Assets

0.0216

The market value of Axos Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axos Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axos Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axos Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axos Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Axos Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axos Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axos Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Axos Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Axos Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Axos Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Axos Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Axos Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Axos Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Short Term Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Earning Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		1.0	-0.88	1.0	-0.14	0.99	0.66	0.75	0.81	0.36	0.06	0.67	0.76	-0.9	0.87	0.9	0.95	0.89	-0.47	-0.91	0.85	0.88	0.88	-0.85
Total Stockholder Equity	1.0		-0.87	1.0	-0.14	0.99	0.63	0.74	0.79	0.33	0.07	0.65	0.74	-0.89	0.89	0.89	0.94	0.88	-0.45	-0.9	0.85	0.89	0.88	-0.85
Net Debt	-0.88	-0.87		-0.88	0.39	-0.89	-0.62	-0.64	-0.69	-0.09	0.07	-0.53	-0.69	0.81	-0.77	-0.81	-0.87	-0.75	0.6	0.83	-0.75	-0.86	-0.83	0.72
Total Liab	1.0	1.0	-0.88		-0.15	0.99	0.66	0.75	0.81	0.36	0.06	0.67	0.76	-0.9	0.87	0.9	0.95	0.89	-0.47	-0.91	0.85	0.87	0.88	-0.85
Short Term Debt	-0.14	-0.14	0.39	-0.15		-0.18	0.29	0.16	0.06	0.18	-0.07	0.15	0.03	-0.04	-0.29	-0.1	-0.25	0.0	0.18	0.01	-0.07	-0.36	-0.2	0.01
Retained Earnings	0.99	0.99	-0.89	0.99	-0.18		0.61	0.74	0.78	0.25	0.0	0.59	0.72	-0.88	0.92	0.87	0.96	0.85	-0.52	-0.91	0.88	0.91	0.91	-0.87
Accounts Payable	0.66	0.63	-0.62	0.66	0.29	0.61		0.91	0.9	0.34	-0.26	0.66	0.85	-0.89	0.29	0.76	0.69	0.73	-0.5	-0.81	0.64	0.37	0.63	-0.67
Long Term Debt	0.75	0.74	-0.64	0.75	0.16	0.74	0.91		0.96	0.3	-0.23	0.65	0.86	-0.91	0.5	0.86	0.82	0.78	-0.59	-0.91	0.8	0.51	0.8	-0.87
Net Receivables	0.81	0.79	-0.69	0.81	0.06	0.78	0.9	0.96		0.34	-0.29	0.62	0.89	-0.95	0.53	0.84	0.89	0.77	-0.57	-0.9	0.83	0.57	0.79	-0.86
Short Term Investments	0.36	0.33	-0.09	0.36	0.18	0.25	0.34	0.3	0.34		0.45	0.64	0.32	-0.33	0.03	0.39	0.27	0.5	0.24	-0.23	0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.16
Total Current Assets	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.07	0.0	-0.26	-0.23	-0.29	0.45		0.38	-0.2	0.16	0.02	0.11	-0.15	0.26	0.52	0.11	-0.33	0.01	-0.15	0.18
Common Stock	0.67	0.65	-0.53	0.67	0.15	0.59	0.66	0.65	0.62	0.64	0.38		0.65	-0.72	0.34	0.79	0.58	0.88	0.05	-0.6	0.33	0.36	0.49	-0.43
Property Plant Equipment	0.76	0.74	-0.69	0.76	0.03	0.72	0.85	0.86	0.89	0.32	-0.2	0.65		-0.92	0.5	0.76	0.82	0.75	-0.6	-0.85	0.71	0.42	0.65	-0.69
Treasury Stock	-0.9	-0.89	0.81	-0.9	-0.04	-0.88	-0.89	-0.91	-0.95	-0.33	0.16	-0.72	-0.92		-0.65	-0.89	-0.92	-0.88	0.52	0.93	-0.81	-0.66	-0.81	0.82
Intangible Assets	0.87	0.89	-0.77	0.87	-0.29	0.92	0.29	0.5	0.53	0.03	0.02	0.34	0.5	-0.65		0.68	0.83	0.65	-0.48	-0.74	0.82	0.91	0.83	-0.77
Net Tangible Assets	0.9	0.89	-0.81	0.9	-0.1	0.87	0.76	0.86	0.84	0.39	0.11	0.79	0.76	-0.89	0.68		0.88	0.96	-0.42	-0.88	0.75	0.73	0.9	-0.81
Long Term Debt Total	0.95	0.94	-0.87	0.95	-0.25	0.96	0.69	0.82	0.89	0.27	-0.15	0.58	0.82	-0.92	0.83	0.88		0.82	-0.59	-0.92	0.9	0.83	0.91	-0.89
Capital Surpluse	0.89	0.88	-0.75	0.89	0.0	0.85	0.73	0.78	0.77	0.5	0.26	0.88	0.75	-0.88	0.65	0.96	0.82		-0.24	-0.82	0.65	0.66	0.78	-0.7
Long Term Investments	-0.47	-0.45	0.6	-0.47	0.18	-0.52	-0.5	-0.59	-0.57	0.24	0.52	0.05	-0.6	0.52	-0.48	-0.42	-0.59	-0.24		0.66	-0.76	-0.46	-0.63	0.68
Short Long Term Debt	-0.91	-0.9	0.83	-0.91	0.01	-0.91	-0.81	-0.91	-0.9	-0.23	0.11	-0.6	-0.85	0.93	-0.74	-0.88	-0.92	-0.82	0.66		-0.89	-0.75	-0.88	0.94
Earning Assets	0.85	0.85	-0.75	0.85	-0.07	0.88	0.64	0.8	0.83	0.08	-0.33	0.33	0.71	-0.81	0.82	0.75	0.9	0.65	-0.76	-0.89		0.79	0.92	-0.95
Current Deferred Revenue	0.88	0.89	-0.86	0.87	-0.36	0.91	0.37	0.51	0.57	0.08	0.01	0.36	0.42	-0.66	0.91	0.73	0.83	0.66	-0.46	-0.75	0.79		0.87	-0.78
Net Invested Capital	0.88	0.88	-0.83	0.88	-0.2	0.91	0.63	0.8	0.79	0.13	-0.15	0.49	0.65	-0.81	0.83	0.9	0.91	0.78	-0.63	-0.88	0.92	0.87		-0.91
Capital Stock	-0.85	-0.85	0.72	-0.85	0.01	-0.87	-0.67	-0.87	-0.86	-0.16	0.18	-0.43	-0.69	0.82	-0.77	-0.81	-0.89	-0.7	0.68	0.94	-0.95	-0.78	-0.91

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Axos Financial

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Axos Financial has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Axos Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Axos Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Axos Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axos Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Axos Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Axos Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.016	0.0138	0.0132	0.0151	0.0197	0.0207
Asset Turnover	0.0413	0.0444	0.0404	0.0437	0.0724	0.0761
Net Debt	(1.3B)	(140.8M)	(639.8M)	(1.8B)	(1.6B)	(1.5B)
Total Current Liabilities	702.1M	745.0M	774.6M	696.6M	6.8B	7.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total	478.3M	574.9M	562.7M	451.8M	13.9B	14.6B
Total Assets	13.9B	14.3B	17.5B	20.3B	22.9B	24.0B
Total Current Assets	2.2B	1.3B	1.9B	2.8B	4.6B	2.4B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	266.6M	412.6M	206.0M	188.0M	325.6M	341.9M

Axos Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Axos Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Axos Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Axos Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.22
	Return On Asset	0.0216
	Profit Margin	0.43 %
	Operating Margin	0.54 %
	Current Valuation	2.66 B
	Shares Outstanding	57.09 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	8.68 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	86.14 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	5.1 M
	Price To Earning	11.37 X
	Price To Book	1.99 X
	Price To Sales	4.20 X
	Revenue	1.66 B
	Gross Profit	702.02 M
	EBITDA	662.57 M
	Net Income	450.01 M
	Cash And Equivalents	75 K
	Total Debt	415.68 M
	Debt To Equity	0.16 %
	Current Ratio	2.96 X
	Book Value Per Share	42.14 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	325.59 M
	Short Ratio	9.41 X
	Earnings Per Share	8.21 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.78 X
	Target Price	79.43
	Number Of Employees	1.78 K
	Beta	1.39
	Market Capitalization	4.73 B
	Total Asset	22.86 B
	Retained Earnings	2.19 B
	Working Capital	144.28 M
	Current Asset	217.86 M
	Current Liabilities	73.58 M
	Net Asset	22.86 B

About Axos Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Axos Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Axos Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axos Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Axos Stock Analysis

When running Axos Financial's price analysis, check to measure Axos Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axos Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Axos Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axos Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axos Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axos Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Axos Financial Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Axos Financial Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Axos Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

Axos Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Axos Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Axos Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Axos Financial ESG Sustainability

Axos Fundamentals

About Axos Financial Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Axos Stock Analysis

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