Algoma Steel Group Stock Beneish M Score

ASTLW Stock  USD 0.41  0.01  2.50%   
This module uses fundamental data of Algoma Steel to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Algoma Steel M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Algoma Steel Piotroski F Score and Algoma Steel Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Algoma Steel's Long Term Debt is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to climb to 0.22 in 2025, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 124.9 M in 2025. At this time, Algoma Steel's Payout Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Capex To Operating Cash Flow is likely to climb to 1.57 in 2025, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01 in 2025.
At this time, Algoma Steel's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Algoma Steel's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Algoma Steel executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Algoma Steel's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.19
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.32

Focus
Asset Quality

N/A

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.89

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.74

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.89

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

N/A

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.83

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.33

Focus

Algoma Steel Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Algoma Steel's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables232.4 M211.9 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue2.7 B3.2 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.3 B3.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.2 B1.5 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total842.5 M1.3 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization83.6 M103.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative97.9 M131.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities406.7 M385.6 M
Notably Up
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total645.1 M670.6 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt14.1 M14.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt223.1 M114.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Algoma Steel Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Algoma Steel's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Algoma Steel in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Algoma Steel's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Algoma Steel Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

83.59 Million

At this time, Algoma Steel's Depreciation And Amortization is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Algoma Steel Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Algoma Steel. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables274.6M402.3M291.2M235.4M211.9M232.4M
Total Revenue1.8B3.8B2.8B2.8B3.2B2.7B
Total Assets1.6B2.7B2.5B2.7B3.1B2.3B
Total Current Assets842.8M1.9B1.4B1.3B1.5B1.2B
Net Debt608.2M(819.1M)(125.1M)48.2M43.4M25.6M
Short Term Debt103.7M10.1M11.9M16.5M14.9M14.1M
Long Term Debt525.7M85.2M110.4M127.4M114.7M223.1M
Operating Income84.8M1.4B290.5M167.3M192.4M235.0M
Investments(72.9M)(165.7M)(333.5M)(490.1M)(441.1M)(419.0M)
Gross Profit Margin(0.0409)0.08760.40.110.09880.0733

About Algoma Steel Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Algoma Steel Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Algoma Steel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Algoma Steel Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Algoma Stock Analysis

When running Algoma Steel's price analysis, check to measure Algoma Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Algoma Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Algoma Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Algoma Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Algoma Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Algoma Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.