Arrow Electronics Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ARW Stock

USD 120.16 0.77 0.64%

Arrow Electronics' odds of distress is less than 3% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Arrow Electronics' Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Arrow Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Arrow balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Arrow Electronics Piotroski F Score and Arrow Electronics Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Arrow Stock please use our How to Invest in Arrow Electronics guide.

Market Cap is likely to climb to about 6.4 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to climb to about 9.8 B in 2024

Arrow Electronics Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Arrow Electronics' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Arrow Electronics Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Arrow Electronics' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Arrow Electronics is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Arrow Electronics probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Arrow Electronics odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Arrow Electronics financial health.

Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrow Electronics. If investors know Arrow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arrow Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.47)

Earnings Share

8.98

Revenue Per Share

530.53

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.15)

Return On Assets

0.0315

The market value of Arrow Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrow Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrow Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arrow Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrow Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrow Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arrow Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrow Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Arrow Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Arrow Electronics is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Arrow Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Arrow Electronics' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Arrow Electronics' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Arrow Electronics' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Accumulated Depreciation	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.96	0.95	0.91	0.99	1.0	0.99	0.67	-0.12	0.99	0.43	0.61	0.62	0.07	-0.9	0.57	-0.03	0.65	0.71	0.76	0.47	-0.83	-0.48	-0.67	0.45	0.54	-0.46
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.9	0.86	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.56	0.14	0.91	0.62	0.75	0.75	-0.08	-0.75	0.68	-0.26	0.62	0.63	0.63	0.38	-0.68	-0.44	-0.51	0.34	0.4	-0.38
Net Debt	0.95	0.9		0.81	0.93	0.95	0.95	0.73	-0.13	0.92	0.32	0.53	0.56	0.2	-0.85	0.48	-0.03	0.73	0.83	0.76	0.55	-0.76	-0.37	-0.63	0.64	0.68	-0.54
Retained Earnings	0.91	0.86	0.81		0.9	0.91	0.89	0.36	-0.09	0.92	0.53	0.57	0.66	0.23	-0.86	0.61	0.05	0.52	0.62	0.57	0.13	-0.79	-0.67	-0.59	0.22	0.48	-0.13
Net Receivables	0.99	0.92	0.93	0.9		1.0	1.0	0.71	-0.25	1.0	0.33	0.53	0.52	0.08	-0.95	0.48	0.09	0.63	0.7	0.81	0.51	-0.89	-0.47	-0.75	0.47	0.59	-0.51
Total Liab	1.0	0.93	0.95	0.91	1.0		1.0	0.69	-0.2	0.99	0.37	0.55	0.57	0.11	-0.93	0.53	0.04	0.65	0.73	0.79	0.49	-0.87	-0.49	-0.7	0.47	0.58	-0.48
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.92	0.95	0.89	1.0	1.0		0.73	-0.23	0.99	0.33	0.53	0.53	0.09	-0.94	0.48	0.07	0.65	0.72	0.81	0.53	-0.88	-0.45	-0.73	0.51	0.61	-0.52
Short Term Debt	0.67	0.56	0.73	0.36	0.71	0.69	0.73		-0.5	0.68	-0.23	0.14	-0.01	-0.09	-0.72	-0.01	0.21	0.56	0.55	0.86	0.9	-0.69	0.03	-0.71	0.74	0.6	-0.88
Intangible Assets	-0.12	0.14	-0.13	-0.09	-0.25	-0.2	-0.23	-0.5		-0.26	0.73	0.54	0.56	-0.33	0.49	0.43	-0.82	-0.13	-0.21	-0.51	-0.44	0.55	0.11	0.57	-0.33	-0.4	0.44
Accounts Payable	0.99	0.91	0.92	0.92	1.0	0.99	0.99	0.68	-0.26		0.32	0.51	0.53	0.12	-0.95	0.49	0.12	0.62	0.7	0.8	0.48	-0.9	-0.5	-0.74	0.45	0.57	-0.48
Common Stock	0.43	0.62	0.32	0.53	0.33	0.37	0.33	-0.23	0.73	0.32		0.69	0.77	-0.21	-0.1	0.66	-0.67	0.06	0.03	-0.19	-0.4	-0.01	-0.32	0.11	-0.27	-0.1	0.41
Current Deferred Revenue	0.61	0.75	0.53	0.57	0.53	0.55	0.53	0.14	0.54	0.51	0.69		0.83	-0.31	-0.34	0.72	-0.58	0.49	0.44	0.37	0.19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	0.09	0.07	-0.21
Good Will	0.62	0.75	0.56	0.66	0.52	0.57	0.53	-0.01	0.56	0.53	0.77	0.83		0.07	-0.31	0.91	-0.52	0.46	0.53	0.19	-0.05	-0.24	-0.49	0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.04
Long Term Debt	0.07	-0.08	0.2	0.23	0.08	0.11	0.09	-0.09	-0.33	0.12	-0.21	-0.31	0.07		-0.17	0.1	0.46	0.26	0.52	-0.01	-0.2	-0.23	-0.49	0.05	0.23	0.36	0.2
Treasury Stock	-0.9	-0.75	-0.85	-0.86	-0.95	-0.93	-0.94	-0.72	0.49	-0.95	-0.1	-0.34	-0.31	-0.17		-0.27	-0.31	-0.59	-0.67	-0.86	-0.54	0.93	0.43	0.86	-0.51	-0.67	0.53
Property Plant Equipment	0.57	0.68	0.48	0.61	0.48	0.53	0.48	-0.01	0.43	0.49	0.66	0.72	0.91	0.1	-0.27		-0.34	0.48	0.48	0.19	-0.05	-0.29	-0.66	0.07	-0.21	-0.21	0.05
Short Term Investments	-0.03	-0.26	-0.03	0.05	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.21	-0.82	0.12	-0.67	-0.58	-0.52	0.46	-0.31	-0.34		0.06	0.12	0.31	0.17	-0.43	-0.23	-0.48	0.11	0.22	-0.17
Net Tangible Assets	0.65	0.62	0.73	0.52	0.63	0.65	0.65	0.56	-0.13	0.62	0.06	0.49	0.46	0.26	-0.59	0.48	0.06		0.83	0.68	0.56	-0.53	-0.32	-0.36	0.56	0.48	-0.57
Long Term Debt Total	0.71	0.63	0.83	0.62	0.7	0.73	0.72	0.55	-0.21	0.7	0.03	0.44	0.53	0.52	-0.67	0.48	0.12	0.83		0.71	0.53	-0.64	-0.44	-0.39	0.66	0.6	-0.54
Capital Surpluse	0.76	0.63	0.76	0.57	0.81	0.79	0.81	0.86	-0.51	0.8	-0.19	0.37	0.19	-0.01	-0.86	0.19	0.31	0.68	0.71		0.86	-0.82	-0.2	-0.8	0.62	0.56	-0.86
Accumulated Depreciation	0.47	0.38	0.55	0.13	0.51	0.49	0.53	0.9	-0.44	0.48	-0.4	0.19	-0.05	-0.2	-0.54	-0.05	0.17	0.56	0.53	0.86		-0.51	0.2	-0.58	0.7	0.43	-1.0
Long Term Investments	-0.83	-0.68	-0.76	-0.79	-0.89	-0.87	-0.88	-0.69	0.55	-0.9	-0.01	-0.25	-0.24	-0.23	0.93	-0.29	-0.43	-0.53	-0.64	-0.82	-0.51		0.61	0.79	-0.42	-0.55	0.5
Short Long Term Debt	-0.48	-0.44	-0.37	-0.67	-0.47	-0.49	-0.45	0.03	0.11	-0.5	-0.32	-0.25	-0.49	-0.49	0.43	-0.66	-0.23	-0.32	-0.44	-0.2	0.2	0.61		0.16	0.2	-0.01	-0.19
Cash And Equivalents	-0.67	-0.51	-0.63	-0.59	-0.75	-0.7	-0.73	-0.71	0.57	-0.74	0.11	-0.13	0.05	0.05	0.86	0.07	-0.48	-0.36	-0.39	-0.8	-0.58	0.79	0.16		-0.45	-0.59	0.57
Net Invested Capital	0.45	0.34	0.64	0.22	0.47	0.47	0.51	0.74	-0.33	0.45	-0.27	0.09	-0.01	0.23	-0.51	-0.21	0.11	0.56	0.66	0.62	0.7	-0.42	0.2	-0.45		0.88	-0.69
Net Working Capital	0.54	0.4	0.68	0.48	0.59	0.58	0.61	0.6	-0.4	0.57	-0.1	0.07	0.01	0.36	-0.67	-0.21	0.22	0.48	0.6	0.56	0.43	-0.55	-0.01	-0.59	0.88		-0.42
Capital Stock	-0.46	-0.38	-0.54	-0.13	-0.51	-0.48	-0.52	-0.88	0.44	-0.48	0.41	-0.21	0.04	0.2	0.53	0.05	-0.17	-0.57	-0.54	-0.86	-1.0	0.5	-0.19	0.57	-0.69	-0.42

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Arrow Electronics

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Arrow Electronics has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 92.59% lower than that of the Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Arrow Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Arrow Electronics' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Arrow Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arrow Electronics by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Arrow Electronics is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Arrow Electronics Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0122)	0.0343	0.0567	0.0656	0.0416	0.0224
Net Debt	2.7B	1.9B	2.4B	3.6B	3.6B	3.8B
Total Current Liabilities	8.3B	9.1B	11.3B	12.4B	13.2B	13.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total	3.3B	2.8B	2.9B	3.8B	2.7B	1.8B
Total Assets	16.4B	17.1B	19.5B	21.8B	21.7B	22.8B
Total Current Assets	12.5B	13.2B	15.9B	18.3B	18.3B	19.2B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	858.0M	1.4B	419.0M	(33.1M)	705.4M	399.1M

Arrow Electronics ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Arrow Electronics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Arrow Electronics' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Arrow Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0845
	Return On Asset	0.0315
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.03 %
	Current Valuation	9.3 B
	Shares Outstanding	52.59 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.78 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	99.22 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.5 M
	Price To Earning	5.14 X
	Price To Book	1.05 X
	Price To Sales	0.22 X
	Revenue	33.11 B
	Gross Profit	4.84 B
	EBITDA	1.74 B
	Net Income	909.36 M
	Cash And Equivalents	176.91 M
	Cash Per Share	5.43 X
	Total Debt	3.81 B
	Debt To Equity	0.71 %
	Current Ratio	1.50 X
	Book Value Per Share	113.39 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	705.45 M
	Short Ratio	5.94 X
	Earnings Per Share	8.98 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.88 X
	Target Price	125.17
	Number Of Employees	22.1 K
	Beta	1.27
	Market Capitalization	6.32 B
	Total Asset	21.73 B
	Retained Earnings	5.79 B
	Working Capital	5.14 B
	Current Asset	9.19 B
	Current Liabilities	6.06 B
	Net Asset	21.73 B

About Arrow Electronics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Arrow Electronics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Arrow Electronics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arrow Electronics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis

When running Arrow Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Arrow Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Arrow Electronics Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Arrow Electronics Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Arrow Electronics Probability Of Bankruptcy

Arrow Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Arrow Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Arrow Electronics Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Arrow Electronics ESG Sustainability

Arrow Fundamentals

About Arrow Electronics Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis

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