Alkermes Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ALKS Stock

USD 33.38 0.50 1.48%

Alkermes Plc's chance of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crunch in the next two years. Alkermes Plc's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Alkermes Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Alkermes balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Alkermes Plc Piotroski F Score and Alkermes Plc Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Alkermes Stock please use our How to Invest in Alkermes Plc guide.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 1.9 B in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 2.1 B in 2025

Alkermes Plc Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Alkermes Plc's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Alkermes Plc Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Alkermes Plc's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Alkermes Plc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Alkermes Plc probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Alkermes Plc odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Alkermes Plc financial health.

Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alkermes Plc. If investors know Alkermes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alkermes Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.331

Earnings Share

2.2

Revenue Per Share

9.418

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.139

Return On Assets

0.1254

The market value of Alkermes Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alkermes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alkermes Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alkermes Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alkermes Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alkermes Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alkermes Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alkermes Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alkermes Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alkermes Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Alkermes Plc is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Alkermes Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Alkermes Plc's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Alkermes Plc's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Alkermes Plc's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Good Will	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.92	-0.3	-0.7	0.7	0.75	0.87	-0.04	0.8	0.67	0.92	-0.38	0.13	0.8	-0.65	0.79	-0.35	-0.78	0.71	-0.66	0.24	-0.71	-0.72	-0.23	0.48	0.48
Total Stockholder Equity	0.92		-0.28	-0.42	0.55	0.44	0.79	0.01	0.69	0.71	0.79	-0.65	0.17	0.62	-0.48	0.73	-0.45	-0.75	0.57	-0.58	0.31	-0.55	-0.66	-0.08	0.38	0.45
Net Debt	-0.3	-0.28		0.44	-0.35	-0.13	-0.7	0.26	-0.76	-0.46	-0.12	0.13	0.59	-0.05	0.74	-0.62	0.72	0.61	-0.76	0.54	0.12	0.81	0.61	0.28	-0.77	-0.81
Retained Earnings	-0.7	-0.42	0.44		-0.77	-0.88	-0.76	0.25	-0.78	-0.47	-0.74	-0.22	0.31	-0.72	0.9	-0.77	0.08	0.74	-0.82	0.7	-0.07	0.85	0.75	0.48	-0.49	-0.38
Accounts Payable	0.7	0.55	-0.35	-0.77		0.74	0.73	-0.25	0.65	0.59	0.78	-0.13	-0.27	0.69	-0.76	0.81	-0.1	-0.73	0.75	-0.67	0.19	-0.71	-0.79	0.07	0.4	0.21
Total Liab	0.75	0.44	-0.13	-0.88	0.74		0.64	-0.08	0.61	0.41	0.85	0.19	0.07	0.86	-0.65	0.62	0.06	-0.52	0.67	-0.52	0.08	-0.63	-0.55	-0.32	0.42	0.22
Total Current Assets	0.87	0.79	-0.7	-0.76	0.73	0.64		-0.22	0.93	0.75	0.73	-0.29	-0.26	0.58	-0.87	0.92	-0.54	-0.87	0.9	-0.75	0.19	-0.92	-0.89	-0.33	0.71	0.7
Short Term Debt	-0.04	0.01	0.26	0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.22		-0.23	-0.14	-0.01	-0.17	0.25	-0.03	0.32	-0.22	0.13	0.13	-0.15	-0.25	0.04	0.29	0.42	0.11	-0.21	-0.19
Net Receivables	0.8	0.69	-0.76	-0.78	0.65	0.61	0.93	-0.23		0.57	0.67	-0.21	-0.24	0.61	-0.9	0.81	-0.64	-0.85	0.9	-0.73	-0.03	-0.96	-0.77	-0.35	0.76	0.78
Short Term Investments	0.67	0.71	-0.46	-0.47	0.59	0.41	0.75	-0.14	0.57		0.65	-0.32	-0.18	0.52	-0.58	0.83	-0.31	-0.71	0.72	-0.58	0.16	-0.6	-0.78	-0.13	0.49	0.34
Common Stock	0.92	0.79	-0.12	-0.74	0.78	0.85	0.73	-0.01	0.67	0.65		-0.26	0.19	0.93	-0.59	0.75	-0.11	-0.7	0.7	-0.62	0.21	-0.61	-0.65	-0.15	0.39	0.23
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.38	-0.65	0.13	-0.22	-0.13	0.19	-0.29	-0.17	-0.21	-0.32	-0.26		-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	-0.27	0.45	0.38	-0.1	0.22	-0.24	0.07	0.18	-0.27	-0.16	-0.22
Long Term Debt	0.13	0.17	0.59	0.31	-0.27	0.07	-0.26	0.25	-0.24	-0.18	0.19	-0.11		0.32	0.54	-0.4	0.04	0.44	-0.35	0.41	-0.08	0.43	0.47	0.16	-0.15	-0.13
Property Plant Equipment	0.8	0.62	-0.05	-0.72	0.69	0.86	0.58	-0.03	0.61	0.52	0.93	-0.03	0.32		-0.52	0.58	-0.07	-0.54	0.63	-0.47	0.01	-0.53	-0.47	-0.11	0.37	0.19
Treasury Stock	-0.65	-0.48	0.74	0.9	-0.76	-0.65	-0.87	0.32	-0.9	-0.58	-0.59	-0.04	0.54	-0.52		-0.86	0.37	0.86	-0.91	0.79	-0.03	0.97	0.87	0.39	-0.63	-0.57
Net Tangible Assets	0.79	0.73	-0.62	-0.77	0.81	0.62	0.92	-0.22	0.81	0.83	0.75	-0.27	-0.4	0.58	-0.86		-0.3	-0.9	0.9	-0.8	0.33	-0.85	-0.95	-0.24	0.53	0.44
Good Will	-0.35	-0.45	0.72	0.08	-0.1	0.06	-0.54	0.13	-0.64	-0.31	-0.11	0.45	0.04	-0.07	0.37	-0.3		0.4	-0.48	0.28	0.27	0.55	0.26	0.1	-0.77	-0.91
Long Term Debt Total	-0.78	-0.75	0.61	0.74	-0.73	-0.52	-0.87	0.13	-0.85	-0.71	-0.7	0.38	0.44	-0.54	0.86	-0.9	0.4		-0.83	0.85	-0.21	0.85	0.86	0.25	-0.49	-0.49
Capital Surpluse	0.71	0.57	-0.76	-0.82	0.75	0.67	0.9	-0.15	0.9	0.72	0.7	-0.1	-0.35	0.63	-0.91	0.9	-0.48	-0.83		-0.8	0.04	-0.95	-0.81	-0.35	0.77	0.65
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.66	-0.58	0.54	0.7	-0.67	-0.52	-0.75	-0.25	-0.73	-0.58	-0.62	0.22	0.41	-0.47	0.79	-0.8	0.28	0.85	-0.8		-0.18	0.76	0.7	0.24	-0.43	-0.39
Long Term Investments	0.24	0.31	0.12	-0.07	0.19	0.08	0.19	0.04	-0.03	0.16	0.21	-0.24	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	0.33	0.27	-0.21	0.04	-0.18		0.01	-0.28	-0.04	-0.35	-0.17
Intangible Assets	-0.71	-0.55	0.81	0.85	-0.71	-0.63	-0.92	0.29	-0.96	-0.6	-0.61	0.07	0.43	-0.53	0.97	-0.85	0.55	0.85	-0.95	0.76	0.01		0.83	0.43	-0.77	-0.75
Short Long Term Debt	-0.72	-0.66	0.61	0.75	-0.79	-0.55	-0.89	0.42	-0.77	-0.78	-0.65	0.18	0.47	-0.47	0.87	-0.95	0.26	0.86	-0.81	0.7	-0.28	0.83		0.26	-0.45	-0.41
Net Invested Capital	-0.23	-0.08	0.28	0.48	0.07	-0.32	-0.33	0.11	-0.35	-0.13	-0.15	-0.27	0.16	-0.11	0.39	-0.24	0.1	0.25	-0.35	0.24	-0.04	0.43	0.26		-0.32	-0.42
Net Working Capital	0.48	0.38	-0.77	-0.49	0.4	0.42	0.71	-0.21	0.76	0.49	0.39	-0.16	-0.15	0.37	-0.63	0.53	-0.77	-0.49	0.77	-0.43	-0.35	-0.77	-0.45	-0.32		0.85
Capital Stock	0.48	0.45	-0.81	-0.38	0.21	0.22	0.7	-0.19	0.78	0.34	0.23	-0.22	-0.13	0.19	-0.57	0.44	-0.91	-0.49	0.65	-0.39	-0.17	-0.75	-0.41	-0.42	0.85

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Alkermes Plc

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Alkermes Plc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.69% lower than that of the Biotechnology sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Alkermes Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Alkermes Plc's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Alkermes Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alkermes Plc by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Alkermes Plc is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Alkermes Plc Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0569)	(0.0238)	(0.0806)	0.17	0.18	0.19
Asset Turnover	0.53	0.58	0.57	0.78	0.76	0.8
Net Debt	2M	(41.7M)	797K	(85.3M)	(215.6M)	(204.8M)
Total Current Liabilities	438.3M	471.3M	497.7M	520.2M	465.2M	488.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total	444.5M	440.6M	422.5M	413.3M	125.4M	244.7M
Total Assets	1.9B	2.0B	2.0B	2.1B	2.1B	2.2B
Total Current Assets	1.1B	1.3B	1.3B	1.5B	1.4B	1.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	82.8M	101.7M	21.0M	401.4M	439.1M	461.1M

Alkermes Plc ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alkermes Plc's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alkermes Plc's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Alkermes Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.28
	Return On Asset	0.13
	Profit Margin	0.24 %
	Operating Margin	0.38 %
	Current Valuation	4.98 B
	Shares Outstanding	162.61 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.44 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	98.56 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	11.57 M
	Price To Earning	(38.45) X
	Price To Book	3.86 X
	Price To Sales	3.63 X
	Revenue	1.56 B
	Gross Profit	1.31 B
	EBITDA	420.64 M
	Net Income	367.07 M
	Cash And Equivalents	580.97 M
	Cash Per Share	3.54 X
	Total Debt	75.54 M
	Debt To Equity	0.38 %
	Current Ratio	2.38 X
	Book Value Per Share	9.03 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	439.12 M
	Short Ratio	7.50 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.20 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(1,057) X
	Target Price	38.4
	Number Of Employees	1.8 K
	Beta	0.58
	Market Capitalization	5.66 B
	Total Asset	2.06 B
	Retained Earnings	(976.46 M)
	Working Capital	950.16 M
	Current Asset	754.96 M
	Current Liabilities	236.21 M
	Net Asset	2.06 B

About Alkermes Plc Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alkermes Plc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alkermes Plc using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alkermes Plc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Alkermes Stock Analysis

When running Alkermes Plc's price analysis, check to measure Alkermes Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alkermes Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Alkermes Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alkermes Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alkermes Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alkermes Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Alkermes Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Alkermes Plc Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Alkermes Plc Probability Of Bankruptcy

Alkermes Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Alkermes Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Alkermes Plc Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Alkermes Plc ESG Sustainability

Alkermes Fundamentals

About Alkermes Plc Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Alkermes Stock Analysis

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