Alderan Resources Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AL8 Stock   0.02  0  16.67%   
Alderan Resources' risk of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate likelihood of going through some financial hardship in the next 2 years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Alderan Resources' chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Alderan balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alderan Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Alderan Resources Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Alderan Resources' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

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Current Alderan Resources Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 59%  
Most of Alderan Resources' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Alderan Resources is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Alderan Resources probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Alderan Resources odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Alderan Resources financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alderan Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alderan Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alderan Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Alderan Resources has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 59%. This is 33.06% higher than that of the Metals & Mining sector and significantly higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Australia stocks is 48.13% lower than that of the firm.

Alderan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Alderan Resources' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Alderan Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alderan Resources by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Alderan Resources is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Alderan Resources Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Debt(2.1M)(791.5K)(254.7K)(235.3K)(119.4K)(125.4K)
Total Current Liabilities771.9K348.0K262.9K416.0K467.8K235.3K
Total Assets10.6M12.1M12.7M8.2M8.0M5.0M
Total Current Assets957.0K2.4M923.1K410.6K339.7K237.2K
Total Cash From Operating Activities(1.4M)(4.0M)(1.0M)(1.9M)(1.8M)(1.8M)

Alderan Fundamentals

About Alderan Resources Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alderan Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alderan Resources using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alderan Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Alderan Stock Analysis

When running Alderan Resources' price analysis, check to measure Alderan Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alderan Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Alderan Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alderan Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alderan Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alderan Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.