Air T Inc Stock Beneish M Score

AIRT Stock  USD 20.40  0.22  1.07%   
This module uses fundamental data of Air T to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Air T M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Air T Piotroski F Score and Air T Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to gain to about 131.5 M in 2024. Net Debt is likely to gain to about 124 M in 2024. At this time, Air T's Free Cash Flow Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Days Of Inventory On Hand is likely to gain to 101.02 in 2024, whereas Capex To Depreciation is likely to drop 0.37 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Air T Inc is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Air T's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Air T executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Air T's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.8
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.07

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Air T Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Air T's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables27.3 M26 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue301.2 M286.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets186 M177.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets108 M102.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total78 M74.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment25.9 M24.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.9 M2.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative53.7 M51.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities49.2 M46.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total117.1 M111.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt18.8 M17.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments17.5 M16.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1969
Notably Up
Very volatile

Air T Inc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Air T's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Air T in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Air T's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Air T Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.94 Million

At this time, Air T's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Air T Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Air T. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables14.3M10.9M32.1M28.7M26.0M27.3M
Total Revenue236.8M175.1M177.1M247.3M286.8M301.2M
Total Assets151.4M140.8M207.6M189.6M177.2M186.0M
Total Current Assets98.5M105.8M128.2M116.6M102.9M108.0M
Net Debt88.5M84.9M138.4M131.7M118.1M124.0M
Short Term Debt43.9M8.4M9.4M42.1M17.9M18.8M
Long Term Debt43.1M81.9M129.3M86.3M98.6M103.5M
Operating Income4.8M(847K)8.8M4.4M1.3M2.3M
Investments(3.2M)1.8M(6.0M)(3.1M)(2.5M)(2.6M)

Air T ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Air T's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Air T's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Air T Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Air T Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Air T using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air T Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Air Stock Analysis

When running Air T's price analysis, check to measure Air T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air T is operating at the current time. Most of Air T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.