Ashford Hospitality Trust Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AHT Stock | USD 7.55 0.27 3.45% |
Ashford | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Ashford Hospitality Trust Company probability of financial unrest Analysis
Ashford Hospitality's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
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Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Ashford Hospitality Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 62% |
Most of Ashford Hospitality's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ashford Hospitality Trust is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ashford Hospitality probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ashford Hospitality odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ashford Hospitality Trust financial health.
Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ashford Hospitality. If investors know Ashford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ashford Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 5 K | Revenue Per Share 289.971 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0122 | Return On Equity (22.60) |
The market value of Ashford Hospitality Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ashford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ashford Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ashford Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ashford Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ashford Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashford Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ashford Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashford Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ashford Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ashford Hospitality is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ashford Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ashford Hospitality's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ashford Hospitality's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ashford Hospitality's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ashford Hospitality Trust has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 62%. This is 44.96% higher than that of the Diversified REITs sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 55.66% lower than that of the firm.
Ashford Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ashford Hospitality's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ashford Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashford Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Ashford Hospitality is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Ashford Hospitality Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.0304) | (0.17) | (0.0661) | (0.036) | (0.0516) | (0.049) | |
| Net Debt | 3.9B | 3.7B | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.3B | 2.5B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 164.3M | 213.1M | 138.1M | 135.7M | 194.9M | 160.9M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 4.2B | 3.8B | 3.9B | 3.9B | 3.5B | 2.7B | |
| Total Assets | 4.7B | 3.7B | 4.1B | 3.9B | 3.5B | 3.2B | |
| Total Current Assets | 506.8M | 233.4M | 789.2M | 663.3M | 414.7M | 478.2M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 177.2M | (149.5M) | (144.2M) | 39.2M | 14.4M | 13.7M |
Ashford Hospitality ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ashford Hospitality's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ashford Hospitality's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Ashford Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -22.6 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0122 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.86 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 5.52 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.96 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 21.76 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 127.89 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | (4.98) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.04 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.37 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 296.93 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 305.61 M | ||||
| Net Income | (178.49 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 417.06 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 15.91 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.46 B | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.03 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (52.98) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.39 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.11 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4,977 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.28) X | ||||
| Target Price | 15.0 | ||||
| Beta | 2.33 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 46.48 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.73 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 219.85 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 433.64 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 159.82 M | ||||
| Five Year Return | 10.26 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 3.46 B |
About Ashford Hospitality Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ashford Hospitality Trust's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ashford Hospitality using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ashford Hospitality Trust based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Tools for Ashford Stock Analysis
When running Ashford Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Ashford Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashford Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Ashford Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashford Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashford Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.