Amtrust Financial Services Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AFSIN Stock | USD 13.86 0.07 0.50% |
AmTrust |
AmTrust Financial Services Company odds of distress Analysis
AmTrust Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current AmTrust Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 66% |
Most of AmTrust Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, AmTrust Financial Services is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of AmTrust Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting AmTrust Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of AmTrust Financial Services financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, AmTrust Financial Services has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 66%. This is 32.19% higher than that of the Financial Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Insurance—Property & Casualty industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 65.7% lower than that of the firm.
AmTrust Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses AmTrust Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the pink sheets which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of AmTrust Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AmTrust Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.AmTrust Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
AmTrust Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0707 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0108 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.37 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 15.88 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.82 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 872.65 M | |||
| EBITDA | (284.69 M) | |||
| Net Income | (348.89 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 756.1 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.82 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.46 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.50 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.60 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (375.3 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.98 X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 9.3 K | |||
| Beta | 0.62 | |||
| Total Asset | 25.22 B | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 10.59 % | |||
| Net Asset | 25.22 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.34 |
About AmTrust Financial Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AmTrust Financial Services's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AmTrust Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AmTrust Financial Services based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AmTrust Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AmTrust Pink Sheet
| 0.63 | TRV | The Travelers Companies Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
Moving against AmTrust Pink Sheet
| 0.63 | PPERF | Bank Mandiri Persero | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | PPERY | Bank Mandiri Persero | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | BKRKY | Bank Rakyat | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | BKRKF | PT Bank Rakyat | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | SHG | Shinhan Financial | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AmTrust Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AmTrust Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AmTrust Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AmTrust Financial Services to buy it.
The correlation of AmTrust Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AmTrust Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AmTrust Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AmTrust Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in AmTrust Pink Sheet
AmTrust Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AmTrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AmTrust with respect to the benefits of owning AmTrust Financial security.