Barrick Gold Corp Stock Beneish M Score

ABX Stock  CAD 24.52  0.06  0.24%   
This module uses fundamental data of Barrick Gold to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Barrick Gold M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Barrick Gold Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
At this time, Barrick Gold's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.21, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 5.2 B. At this time, Barrick Gold's PB Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, EV To Sales is likely to grow to 2.91, while Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 9.64.
At this time, Barrick Gold's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Barrick Gold's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Barrick Gold executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Barrick Gold's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.53
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

2.09

Focus
Asset Quality

0.18

Focus
Expense Coverage

3.41

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.55

Focus
Accruals Factor

3.41

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.28

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.5

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.44

Focus

Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Barrick Gold's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Revenue5.7 B11.4 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Property Plant Equipment21.5 B29.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative215.5 M126 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Net DebtB1.1 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt40.9 M43 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt5.9 B5.1 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.9 BB
Way Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments2.9 B4.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.470.304
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Barrick Gold Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Barrick Gold's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Barrick Gold in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Barrick Gold's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Barrick Gold Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.14 Billion

At this time, Barrick Gold's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Barrick Gold Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Barrick Gold. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables665M766M942M906M1.2B1.2B
Total Revenue9.7B12.6B12.0B11.0B11.4B5.7B
Total Assets44.4B46.5B46.9B46.0B45.8B24.1B
Total Current Assets6.9B8.1B8.2B8.5B7.4B4.2B
Net Debt2.2B176M193M810M1.1B1.0B
Short Term Debt43M375M20M24M45M40.9M
Long Term Debt5.1B5.3B5.4B5.2B5.1B5.9B
Operating Income5.1B4.9B4.8B3.4B3.0B1.9B
Investments50M(1.3B)474M(1.7B)(2.8B)(2.7B)

Barrick Gold ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Barrick Gold's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Barrick Gold's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Barrick Gold Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Barrick Gold Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Barrick Gold using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barrick Gold Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Barrick Gold

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Barrick Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Barrick Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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Moving against Barrick Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Barrick Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Barrick Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Barrick Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Barrick Gold Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Barrick Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Barrick Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Barrick Gold Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Barrick Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Barrick Gold Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Barrick Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Barrick Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Barrick Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Barrick Gold Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrick Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrick Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrick Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.