China Railway Group Stock Beneish M Score

601390 Stock   6.39  0.02  0.31%   
This module uses fundamental data of China Railway to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. China Railway M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in China Railway Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
At present, China Railway's Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 151.6 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 63.8 B.
At this time, China Railway's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if China Railway's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by China Railway executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of China Railway's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.8
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.9

Focus
Asset Quality

1.33

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.72

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.72

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

N/A

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.51

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

China Railway Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if China Railway's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables151.6 B156.9 B
Sufficiently Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue642.8 B1.3 T
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.9 T1.8 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets807.9 BT
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total486.6 B823.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment47.6 B87.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative17.4 B12.6 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.1 TT
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total205.8 B358.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt151.6 B144.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt61 B85.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt327.1 B311.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income62.1 B59.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities21.9 B38.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments9.3 B8.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments37.4 B70.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

China Railway Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between China Railway's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards China Railway in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find China Railway's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About China Railway Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Reconciled Depreciation

11.4 Billion

At present, China Railway's Reconciled Depreciation is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

China Railway Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as China Railway. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables254.8B107.9B122.1B122.2B156.9B151.6B
Total Revenue848.4B972.7B1.1T1.2T1.3T642.8B
Total Assets1.1T1.2T1.4T1.6T1.8T1.9T
Total Current Assets709.5B741.8B800.8B898.6B1.0T807.9B
Net Debt29.5B39.6B69.1B112.4B144.4B151.6B
Long Term Debt126.7B161.7B195.1B279.8B311.6B327.1B
Operating Income35.2B43.1B47.9B51.2B59.2B62.1B
Investments(25.0B)(26.4B)(24.2B)(25.9B)(74.6B)(70.9B)

China Railway ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, China Railway's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to China Railway's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About China Railway Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze China Railway Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of China Railway using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Railway Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Railway security.