Xp Inc Stock Price Prediction
| XP Stock | USD 13.54 1.41 9.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.104 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1818 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.472 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.4855 | Wall Street Target Price 136.8112 |
Using Xp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xp Inc from the perspective of Xp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xp after-hype prediction price | USD 13.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xp |
Xp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xp's historical news coverage. Xp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.79 and 16.03, respectively. We have considered Xp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xp Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.62 | 0.13 | 0.57 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.54 | 13.41 | 0.96 |
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Xp Hype Timeline
As of December 1, 2024 Xp Inc is listed for 13.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Xp is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.96%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Xp is about 207.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.11. About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Xp was at this time reported as 35.46. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2023. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Xp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xp's future price movements. Getting to know how Xp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TIGR | Up Fintech Holding | (0.33) | 10 per month | 6.07 | 0.10 | 16.59 | (13.93) | 50.88 | |
| BTBT | Bit Digital | 0.05 | 9 per month | 5.66 | 0.08 | 11.34 | (9.72) | 42.28 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | 2.40 | 6 per month | 4.60 | 0.12 | 11.02 | (8.26) | 43.97 | |
| GHL | Greenhill Co | (0.03) | 2 per month | 1.89 | 0.1 | 5.75 | (5.53) | 117.24 | |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings | (0.71) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.01 | 2.30 | (1.66) | 10.40 | |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group | 1.61 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.26 | 3.14 | (1.75) | 13.76 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | 5.72 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.1 | 3.06 | (2.73) | 19.28 | |
| PJT | PJT Partners | (0.81) | 11 per month | 0.90 | 0.14 | 3.55 | (2.04) | 18.44 | |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.65 | 0.22 | 3.76 | (2.05) | 12.79 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 1.01 | 7 per month | 0.66 | 0.16 | 3.01 | (1.97) | 16.31 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | 1.85 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.1 | 3.07 | (2.70) | 22.79 | |
| LAZ | Lazard | 0.60 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.07 | 3.95 | (2.71) | 18.37 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | 5.05 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 3.42 | (3.04) | 22.37 |
Xp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xp Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xp based on analysis of Xp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0463 | 0.0486 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.54 | 10.01 |
Story Coverage note for Xp
The number of cover stories for Xp depends on current market conditions and Xp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xp Short Properties
Xp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xp Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 544.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
Additional Tools for Xp Stock Analysis
When running Xp's price analysis, check to measure Xp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xp is operating at the current time. Most of Xp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.