Victory Capital Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| VCTR Stock | USD 69.48 2.55 3.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.61 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.304 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.149 | Wall Street Target Price 67.8889 |
Using Victory Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Victory Capital Holdings from the perspective of Victory Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Victory Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Victory because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Victory Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 68.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Victory |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Victory Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Victory Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Victory Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Victory Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Victory Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Victory Capital's historical news coverage. Victory Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.53 and 71.05, respectively. We have considered Victory Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Victory Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Victory Capital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Victory Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Victory Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Victory Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Victory Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.26 | 0.69 | 0.25 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
69.48 | 68.79 | 0.99 |
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Victory Capital Hype Timeline
Victory Capital Holdings is at this time traded for 69.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.69, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Victory is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 154.79%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Victory Capital is about 417.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.73. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Victory Capital was at this time reported as 18.09. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. Victory Capital Holdings last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Victory Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Victory Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Victory Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Victory Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Victory Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Victory Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Victory Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Victory price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Victory using various technical indicators. When you analyze Victory charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Victory Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Victory Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Victory Capital Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Victory Capital based on analysis of Victory Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Victory Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Victory Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.015 | 0.0377 | 0.0375 | 0.0484 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.79 | 2.15 | 2.78 | 1.78 |
Story Coverage note for Victory Capital
The number of cover stories for Victory Capital depends on current market conditions and Victory Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Victory Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Victory Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Victory Capital Short Properties
Victory Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Victory Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Victory Capital Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Victory Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victory Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.5 M |
Additional Tools for Victory Stock Analysis
When running Victory Capital's price analysis, check to measure Victory Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.