Americas Silver Corp Stock Price Prediction
| USA Stock | CAD 0.59 0.03 5.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 0.9 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.05) |
Using Americas Silver hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americas Silver Corp from the perspective of Americas Silver response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americas Silver to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Americas Silver after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Americas |
Americas Silver After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americas Silver at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americas Silver or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americas Silver, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americas Silver Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americas Silver's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americas Silver's historical news coverage. Americas Silver's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 6.54, respectively. We have considered Americas Silver's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americas Silver is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americas Silver Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americas Silver Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americas Silver is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Silver backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americas Silver, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 5.97 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.59 | 0.59 | 0.00 |
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Americas Silver Hype Timeline
Americas Silver Corp is at this time traded for 0.59on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Americas is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.91%. %. The volatility of related hype on Americas Silver is about 12978.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.55. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Americas Silver was at this time reported as 0.13. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.22. Americas Silver Corp last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2016. The entity had 1:12 split on the 28th of December 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Americas Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Americas Silver Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americas Silver's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americas Silver's future price movements. Getting to know how Americas Silver's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americas Silver may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXN | Excellon Resources | 0.00 | 2 per month | 4.62 | 0.06 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 37.61 | |
| GGD | GoGold Resources | (0.04) | 1 per month | 3.29 | 0.04 | 7.03 | (5.08) | 17.66 | |
| FVI | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.19) | 1 per month | 2.90 | 0.08 | 7.65 | (5.39) | 17.60 | |
| DV | Dolly Varden Silver | (0.01) | 2 per month | 3.14 | 0.01 | 4.96 | (5.79) | 13.24 | |
| LGD | Liberty Gold Corp | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.67 | (6.67) | 20.09 |
Americas Silver Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Americas Silver Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Americas Silver stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americas Silver Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americas Silver based on analysis of Americas Silver hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americas Silver's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americas Silver's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 38.61 | 49.6 | 38.46 | 36.54 | PTB Ratio | 1.23 | 1.29 | 1.02 | 0.97 |
Story Coverage note for Americas Silver
The number of cover stories for Americas Silver depends on current market conditions and Americas Silver's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americas Silver is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americas Silver's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Americas Silver Short Properties
Americas Silver's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americas Silver's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americas Silver Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americas Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Check out Americas Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.