Astor Star Fund Price Prediction
| STARX Fund | USD 16.86 0.01 0.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Astor Star hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astor Star Fund from the perspective of Astor Star response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Astor Star to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Astor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Astor Star after-hype prediction price | USD 16.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Astor |
Astor Star After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Astor Star at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astor Star or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Astor Star, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Astor Star Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Astor Star's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astor Star's historical news coverage. Astor Star's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.35 and 17.35, respectively. We have considered Astor Star's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Astor Star is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astor Star Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.
Astor Star Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Astor Star is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astor Star backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astor Star, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.86 | 16.85 | 0.06 |
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Astor Star Hype Timeline
Astor Star Fund is at this time traded for 16.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Astor is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Astor Star is about 5000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.86. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Astor Star Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Astor Star Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Astor Star's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astor Star's future price movements. Getting to know how Astor Star's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astor Star may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASPGX | Astor Star Fund | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.74 | (0.62) | 2.96 | |
| CSPGX | Astor Star Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.77 | (0.64) | 3.05 | |
| ASTIX | Astor Longshort Fund | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.11 | (0.09) | 0.57 | (0.43) | 1.79 | |
| RYHOX | Nasdaq 100 Fund Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | (0.02) | 1.85 | (1.57) | 5.13 | |
| RYATX | Nasdaq 100 Fund Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 1.55 | (1.57) | 5.13 |
Astor Star Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Astor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Astor Star Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Astor Star stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Astor Star Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astor Star based on analysis of Astor Star hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Astor Star's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astor Star's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Astor Star
The number of cover stories for Astor Star depends on current market conditions and Astor Star's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Astor Star is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Astor Star's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund
Astor Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Star security.
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