Seneca Foods Corp Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 49.23 50.95 79.31 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 70.41 72.13 73.84 Details

0 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 19.11 21.00 23.31 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 68.61 71.05 73.49 Details

Seneca Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Seneca Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Seneca Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.31	1.72	0.49	0.01	4 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 4 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
72.10	71.61	0.68	109.55   Notes

Seneca Foods Hype Timeline

Seneca Foods Corp is at this time traded for 72.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Seneca is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 109.55%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Seneca Foods is about 4300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.11. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Seneca Foods Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.96. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Seneca Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Seneca Foods Related Hype Analysis

Seneca Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Seneca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seneca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seneca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Seneca Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seneca Foods Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seneca Foods based on analysis of Seneca Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Seneca Foods depends on current market conditions and Seneca Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seneca Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seneca Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Seneca Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Seneca Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seneca Foods Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seneca Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seneca Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Seneca Foods' price analysis, check to measure Seneca Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seneca Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Seneca Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seneca Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seneca Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seneca Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.