P3 Health Partners Stock Price Prediction

PIII Stock  USD 0.25  0.01  4.17%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of P3 Health's share price is below 30 as of 30th of November 2024 indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling P3 Health Partners, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

27

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of P3 Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with P3 Health Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting P3 Health's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04)
Wall Street Target Price
0.625
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.152
Using P3 Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of P3 Health Partners from the perspective of P3 Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in P3 Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PIII because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

P3 Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out P3 Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.539.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.338.61
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.905.385.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

P3 Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of P3 Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in P3 Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of P3 Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

P3 Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting P3 Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on P3 Health's historical news coverage. P3 Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.55, respectively. We have considered P3 Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.25
0.26
After-hype Price
8.55
Upside
P3 Health is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of P3 Health Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.

P3 Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as P3 Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading P3 Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with P3 Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
8.29
  0.01 
  0.55 
11 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.25
0.26
4.00 
82,900  
Notes

P3 Health Hype Timeline

P3 Health Partners is at this time traded for 0.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.55. PIII is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 4.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on P3 Health is about 921.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.3. P3 Health Partners currently holds 121.94 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out P3 Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

P3 Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to P3 Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict P3 Health's future price movements. Getting to know how P3 Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how P3 Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AIHAesthetic Medical Intl 0.04 3 per month 18.11  0.09  56.25 (37.88) 125.38 
SNDASonida Senior Living 1.11 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.59 (4.77) 12.89 
ACHCAcadia Healthcare(0.42)8 per month 0.00 (0.28) 3.36 (5.78) 21.88 
CCELCryoCell International 0.39 3 per month 2.47  0.11  7.14 (4.42) 30.49 
CYHCommunity Health Systems(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.03 (6.25) 28.67 
LFSTLifestance Health Group 0.03 8 per month 1.56  0.08  3.28 (3.30) 11.88 
AGLagilon health(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 9.62 (11.52) 45.03 
BKDBrookdale Senior Living 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.10 (4.56) 21.81 
INNVInnovAge Holding Corp 0.09 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.23 (4.81) 11.60 
USPHUS Physicalrapy(0.44)9 per month 1.20  0.06  3.06 (2.56) 20.31 
EHABEnhabit 0.21 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.22 (4.56) 11.79 
ENSGThe Ensign Group(13.99)10 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.32 (2.11) 10.08 
AMEHAstrana Health 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.26 (5.40) 14.65 
SEMSelect Medical Holdings 0.44 11 per month 1.85  0.01  3.00 (2.50) 16.72 
EHCEncompass Health Corp(0.92)12 per month 0.83  0.04  1.74 (1.86) 9.75 

P3 Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PIII price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PIII using various technical indicators. When you analyze PIII charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About P3 Health Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of P3 Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as P3 Health Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of P3 Health based on analysis of P3 Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to P3 Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to P3 Health's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number5.994.544.533.22
Receivables Turnover9.6K13.1910.439.9

Story Coverage note for P3 Health

The number of cover stories for P3 Health depends on current market conditions and P3 Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that P3 Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about P3 Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

P3 Health Short Properties

P3 Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when P3 Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of P3 Health Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential P3 Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. P3 Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.3 M

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When running P3 Health's price analysis, check to measure P3 Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy P3 Health is operating at the current time. Most of P3 Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of P3 Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move P3 Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of P3 Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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