Omega Healthcare Investors Stock Price Prediction

OHI Stock  USD 40.67  0.10  0.25%   
As of 29th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Omega Healthcare's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Omega Healthcare, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Omega Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Omega Healthcare Investors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Omega Healthcare's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.137
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5144
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6671
Wall Street Target Price
42.4667
Using Omega Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Omega Healthcare Investors from the perspective of Omega Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Omega Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Omega because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Omega Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Omega Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.7833.9144.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.4541.5842.71
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.7833.8237.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.380.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Omega Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Omega Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Omega Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Omega Healthcare Inv.

Omega Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Omega Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Omega Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Omega Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Omega Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Omega Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Omega Healthcare's historical news coverage. Omega Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.52 and 41.78, respectively. We have considered Omega Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.67
40.65
After-hype Price
41.78
Upside
Omega Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Omega Healthcare Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.

Omega Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Omega Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Omega Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Omega Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.14
  0.02 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.67
40.65
0.05 
438.46  
Notes

Omega Healthcare Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Omega Healthcare Inv is traded for 40.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Omega is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Omega Healthcare is about 760.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.68. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Omega Healthcare was now reported as 15.69. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Omega Healthcare Inv last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Omega Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Omega Healthcare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Omega Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Omega Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Omega Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Omega Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LTCLTC Properties 0.34 10 per month 0.94 (0.01) 2.07 (1.87) 8.30 
DOCHealthpeak Properties(0.15)10 per month 1.29 (0.07) 2.36 (2.08) 6.16 
GMREGlobal Medical REIT 0.1 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.84 (2.36) 6.41 
SBRASabra Healthcare REIT(1.12)7 per month 1.60  0.06  2.51 (2.50) 8.78 
VTRVentas Inc 0.85 10 per month 1.03 (0) 1.99 (1.80) 5.92 
NHINational Health Investors 1.07 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.96 (2.29) 6.32 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust 0.07 11 per month 1.34 (0.02) 2.01 (2.54) 5.37 
PEAKPEAK Old 0.00 0 per month 1.41 (0.03) 2.88 (2.16) 6.74 
CTRECareTrust REIT(0.07)9 per month 1.28 (0.06) 2.06 (1.45) 7.20 
UHTUniversal Health Realty 0.41 6 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.45 (1.93) 6.11 

Omega Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Omega price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Omega using various technical indicators. When you analyze Omega charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Omega Healthcare Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Omega Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Omega Healthcare Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Omega Healthcare based on analysis of Omega Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Omega Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Omega Healthcare's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0910.09580.08730.1
Price To Sales Ratio6.67.527.765.5

Story Coverage note for Omega Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Omega Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Omega Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Omega Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Omega Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Omega Healthcare Short Properties

Omega Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Omega Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Omega Healthcare Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Omega Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omega Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding250.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments442.8 M

Complementary Tools for Omega Stock analysis

When running Omega Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Omega Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omega Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Omega Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omega Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omega Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omega Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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