Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 22.09 24.73 27.37 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 24.26 26.89 29.53 Details

22 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 18.43 20.25 22.48 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.40 0.42 0.44 Details

Norwegian Cruise After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Norwegian Cruise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Norwegian Cruise Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.71	2.64	0.40	19.73	11 Events / Month	5 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
26.89	27.29	1.49	471.43   Notes

Norwegian Cruise Hype Timeline

Norwegian Cruise Line is now traded for 26.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 19.73. Norwegian is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.71%. The volatility of related hype on Norwegian Cruise is about 9.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.55 B. Net Income was 166.18 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 576.67 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Norwegian Cruise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Norwegian Cruise Related Hype Analysis

Norwegian Cruise Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Norwegian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norwegian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norwegian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Norwegian Cruise stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norwegian Cruise Line, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norwegian Cruise based on analysis of Norwegian Cruise hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Norwegian Cruise depends on current market conditions and Norwegian Cruise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norwegian Cruise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norwegian Cruise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Norwegian Cruise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norwegian Cruise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norwegian Cruise Line often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norwegian Cruise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norwegian Cruise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Norwegian Cruise's price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.