JD Sports (UK) Price Prediction

JD Stock   103.40  1.75  1.72%   
The value of RSI of JD Sports' share price is below 30 at the present time. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling JD Sports Fashion, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

29

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JD Sports' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JD Sports and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JD Sports' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JD Sports Fashion, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JD Sports' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.77
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.71
Wall Street Target Price
173.07
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.052
Using JD Sports hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JD Sports Fashion from the perspective of JD Sports response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JD Sports to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JD Sports because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

JD Sports after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 104.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out JD Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.0396.16113.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.85100.98104.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

JD Sports After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of JD Sports at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JD Sports or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JD Sports, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

JD Sports Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting JD Sports' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JD Sports' historical news coverage. JD Sports' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.17 and 107.43, respectively. We have considered JD Sports' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
103.40
101.17
Downside
104.30
After-hype Price
107.43
Upside
JD Sports is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JD Sports Fashion is based on 3 months time horizon.

JD Sports Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JD Sports is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JD Sports backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JD Sports, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
3.13
  0.90 
  331.09 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.40
104.30
0.87 
125.20  
Notes

JD Sports Hype Timeline

JD Sports Fashion is currently traded for 103.40on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -331.09. JD Sports is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 104.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 125.2%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on JD Sports is about 0.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -227.69. The company reported the revenue of 10.54 B. Net Income was 605 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out JD Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

JD Sports Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to JD Sports' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JD Sports' future price movements. Getting to know how JD Sports' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JD Sports may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0R37Berkshire Hathaway 5.60 2 per month 0.82 (0.06) 1.43 (1.07) 4.62 
HYUDHyundai Motor(0.60)2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.14 (3.64) 11.89 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 7.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.80 (3.78) 10.50 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co(2.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.26) 3.19 (4.02) 13.39 
0QKNChocoladefabriken Lindt Spruengli 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.32 (2.19) 4.38 
0M69OTP Bank Nyrt(8,500)1 per month 0.00  0.07  44.28 (30.69) 107.82 
HSBKHalyk Bank of(0.28)3 per month 1.12 (0.01) 2.07 (2.30) 7.79 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp(56.86)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.19 (6.63) 15.31 
0RUKMOL Hungarian Oil 270.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  21.03 

JD Sports Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JD Sports price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JD Sports using various technical indicators. When you analyze JD Sports charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About JD Sports Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of JD Sports stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JD Sports Fashion, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JD Sports based on analysis of JD Sports hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JD Sports's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JD Sports's related companies.

Story Coverage note for JD Sports

The number of cover stories for JD Sports depends on current market conditions and JD Sports' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JD Sports is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JD Sports' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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JD Sports Short Properties

JD Sports' future price predictability will typically decrease when JD Sports' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JD Sports Fashion often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JD Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JD Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Complementary Tools for JD Sports Stock analysis

When running JD Sports' price analysis, check to measure JD Sports' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JD Sports is operating at the current time. Most of JD Sports' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JD Sports' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JD Sports' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JD Sports to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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