F5 Networks Stock Price Prediction
| FFIV Stock | USD 250.35 0.28 0.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.18 | Wall Street Target Price 237.1917 |
Using F5 Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of F5 Networks from the perspective of F5 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
F5 Networks Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to F5 Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FFIV. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FFIV can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around F5 Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of F5 Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about F5 Networks.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in F5 Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FFIV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
F5 Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 248.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FFIV |
F5 Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of F5 Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in F5 Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of F5 Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
F5 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting F5 Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on F5 Networks' historical news coverage. F5 Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 246.91 and 275.39, respectively. We have considered F5 Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
F5 Networks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of F5 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.
F5 Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as F5 Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading F5 Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with F5 Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.59 | 1.85 | 0.32 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
250.35 | 248.50 | 0.74 |
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F5 Networks Hype Timeline
F5 Networks is currently traded for 250.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. FFIV is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 248.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 31.86%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on F5 Networks is about 186.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 250.67. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of F5 Networks was currently reported as 53.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.46. F5 Networks recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.54. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of August 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.F5 Networks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to F5 Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict F5 Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how F5 Networks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how F5 Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRSN | VeriSign | (3.44) | 8 per month | 1.01 | (0.07) | 2.06 | (1.96) | 6.38 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | (0.60) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.75 | (1.86) | 17.62 | |
| FLT | Fleetcor Technologies | 3.42 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.95 | (1.95) | 9.73 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 0.39 | 12 per month | 1.38 | 0.07 | 3.17 | (2.59) | 26.78 | |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software | 5.93 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 3.32 | (2.86) | 8.13 | |
| DOX | Amdocs | 2.45 | 8 per month | 1.29 | (0.08) | 1.76 | (1.55) | 7.31 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | (1.43) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.05 | (2.16) | 18.11 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | 3.50 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.1 | 3.13 | (2.10) | 6.71 | |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings | 0.22 | 8 per month | 1.57 | (0.05) | 2.52 | (2.63) | 10.29 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.04 | 4.23 | (2.74) | 10.83 | |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce | (1.39) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (2.74) | 13.74 |
F5 Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FFIV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FFIV using various technical indicators. When you analyze FFIV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About F5 Networks Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of F5 Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as F5 Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of F5 Networks based on analysis of F5 Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to F5 Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to F5 Networks's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 106.92 | 107.55 | 50.42 | 77.01 | PTB Ratio | 3.53 | 3.45 | 4.13 | 6.59 |
Story Coverage note for F5 Networks
The number of cover stories for F5 Networks depends on current market conditions and F5 Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that F5 Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about F5 Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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F5 Networks Short Properties
F5 Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when F5 Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of F5 Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for FFIV Stock Analysis
When running F5 Networks' price analysis, check to measure F5 Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy F5 Networks is operating at the current time. Most of F5 Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of F5 Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move F5 Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of F5 Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.