Ceylon Hospitals (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction

CHLN0000  LKR 117.50  0.75  0.63%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Ceylon Hospitals' share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ceylon Hospitals, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ceylon Hospitals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ceylon Hospitals PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ceylon Hospitals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ceylon Hospitals PLC from the perspective of Ceylon Hospitals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ceylon Hospitals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ceylon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ceylon Hospitals after-hype prediction price

    
  LKR 117.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ceylon Hospitals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.75100.33129.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
118.80120.38121.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
112.54116.25119.96
Details

Ceylon Hospitals Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Ceylon Hospitals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ceylon Hospitals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ceylon Hospitals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ceylon Hospitals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ceylon Hospitals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ceylon Hospitals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ceylon Hospitals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.58
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
117.50
117.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ceylon Hospitals Hype Timeline

Ceylon Hospitals PLC is currently traded for 117.50on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ceylon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ceylon Hospitals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 117.50. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Ceylon Hospitals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ceylon Hospitals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ceylon Hospitals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ceylon Hospitals' future price movements. Getting to know how Ceylon Hospitals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ceylon Hospitals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LCBFN0000Lanka Credit and 0.00 0 per month 2.61  0.10  5.00 (4.55) 14.07 
VLLX0000VIDULLANKA PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.27  0.03  4.56 (2.22) 21.17 
CARSN0000Carson Cumberbatch PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.21  0.11  3.73 (3.10) 10.24 
PINSN0000Peoples Insurance PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.17  0.17  4.76 (2.22) 9.76 
NTBN0000Nations Trust Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.28  3.96 (1.86) 6.18 
MRHN0000Mahaweli Reach Hotel 0.00 0 per month 2.09  0.18  8.70 (5.00) 20.33 
DISTN0000Distilleries Company of 0.00 0 per month 0.30  0.31  3.24 (1.22) 6.36 
PALMN0000Palm Garden Hotels 0.00 0 per month 0.87  0.24  6.85 (2.53) 11.85 
SHOTN0000Serendib Hotels PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.32  0.28  6.06 (2.50) 11.02 

Ceylon Hospitals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ceylon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ceylon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ceylon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ceylon Hospitals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ceylon Hospitals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ceylon Hospitals PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ceylon Hospitals based on analysis of Ceylon Hospitals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ceylon Hospitals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ceylon Hospitals's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ceylon Hospitals

The number of cover stories for Ceylon Hospitals depends on current market conditions and Ceylon Hospitals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ceylon Hospitals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ceylon Hospitals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Complementary Tools for Ceylon Stock analysis

When running Ceylon Hospitals' price analysis, check to measure Ceylon Hospitals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ceylon Hospitals is operating at the current time. Most of Ceylon Hospitals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ceylon Hospitals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ceylon Hospitals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ceylon Hospitals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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