Berner Kantonalbank (Switzerland) Price Prediction
| BEKN Stock | CHF 232.00 1.00 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Berner Kantonalbank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Berner Kantonalbank AG from the perspective of Berner Kantonalbank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Berner Kantonalbank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Berner because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Berner Kantonalbank after-hype prediction price | CHF 232.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Berner |
Berner Kantonalbank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Berner Kantonalbank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Berner Kantonalbank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Berner Kantonalbank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Berner Kantonalbank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Berner Kantonalbank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Berner Kantonalbank's historical news coverage. Berner Kantonalbank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 231.47 and 232.53, respectively. We have considered Berner Kantonalbank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Berner Kantonalbank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Berner Kantonalbank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Berner Kantonalbank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Berner Kantonalbank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Berner Kantonalbank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Berner Kantonalbank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
232.00 | 232.00 | 0.00 |
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Berner Kantonalbank Hype Timeline
Berner Kantonalbank is currently traded for 232.00on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Berner is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Berner Kantonalbank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 232.00. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Berner Kantonalbank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. The firm had 1013:990 split on the 5th of August 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Berner Kantonalbank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Berner Kantonalbank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Berner Kantonalbank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Berner Kantonalbank's future price movements. Getting to know how Berner Kantonalbank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Berner Kantonalbank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCVN | Banque Cantonale | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.16 | (1.63) | 4.88 | |
| LUKN | Luzerner Kantonalbank AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.32 | (1.38) | 3.43 | |
| SGKN | St Galler Kantonalbank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | (0.15) | 1.20 | (1.05) | 3.37 | |
| BSKP | Basler Kantonalbank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.13) | 0.92 | (0.92) | 3.30 | |
| BCGE | Banque Cantonale de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.53 | (1.53) | 3.98 |
Berner Kantonalbank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Berner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Berner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Berner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Berner Kantonalbank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Berner Kantonalbank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Berner Kantonalbank AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Berner Kantonalbank based on analysis of Berner Kantonalbank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Berner Kantonalbank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Berner Kantonalbank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Berner Kantonalbank
The number of cover stories for Berner Kantonalbank depends on current market conditions and Berner Kantonalbank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Berner Kantonalbank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Berner Kantonalbank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Berner Kantonalbank Short Properties
Berner Kantonalbank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Berner Kantonalbank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Berner Kantonalbank AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Berner Kantonalbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berner Kantonalbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.8 B |
Additional Tools for Berner Stock Analysis
When running Berner Kantonalbank's price analysis, check to measure Berner Kantonalbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berner Kantonalbank is operating at the current time. Most of Berner Kantonalbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berner Kantonalbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berner Kantonalbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berner Kantonalbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.