Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| BAFN Stock | USD 13.25 0.18 1.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Bayfirst Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bayfirst Financial Corp from the perspective of Bayfirst Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bayfirst Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bayfirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bayfirst Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 13.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bayfirst |
Bayfirst Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bayfirst Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bayfirst Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bayfirst Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bayfirst Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bayfirst Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bayfirst Financial's historical news coverage. Bayfirst Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.11 and 15.39, respectively. We have considered Bayfirst Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bayfirst Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bayfirst Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bayfirst Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bayfirst Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bayfirst Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bayfirst Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.16 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.25 | 13.25 | 0.00 |
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Bayfirst Financial Hype Timeline
Bayfirst Financial Corp is currently traded for 13.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Bayfirst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bayfirst Financial is about 1551.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.24. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bayfirst Financial Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 12th of May 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Bayfirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bayfirst Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bayfirst Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bayfirst Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bayfirst Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bayfirst Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.75 | (4.31) | 17.43 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | (0.01) | 5 per month | 1.33 | 0.08 | 3.72 | (2.38) | 10.82 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.46 | (0.20) | 0.79 | (0.65) | 4.44 | |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.14 | 3.41 | (2.14) | 12.15 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.01 | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.12) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp | (1.03) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.15 | 3.59 | (3.21) | 12.18 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | 0.16 | 5 per month | 0.55 | 0.09 | 2.47 | (1.35) | 11.39 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 2.07 | (0.04) | 6.22 | (4.11) | 14.42 |
Bayfirst Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bayfirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayfirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bayfirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bayfirst Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bayfirst Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bayfirst Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bayfirst Financial based on analysis of Bayfirst Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bayfirst Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bayfirst Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0238 | 0.0315 | 0.0426 | 0.0447 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.58 | 1.16 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
Story Coverage note for Bayfirst Financial
The number of cover stories for Bayfirst Financial depends on current market conditions and Bayfirst Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bayfirst Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bayfirst Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Bayfirst Financial Short Properties
Bayfirst Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bayfirst Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bayfirst Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bayfirst Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayfirst Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.4 M |
Check out Bayfirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. If investors know Bayfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bayfirst Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.74 | Revenue Per Share 30.056 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Bayfirst Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bayfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bayfirst Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bayfirst Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bayfirst Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bayfirst Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bayfirst Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bayfirst Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bayfirst Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.