Ambow Education Holding Stock Price Prediction
| AMBO Stock | USD 1.80 0.17 8.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.361 | Wall Street Target Price 55.39 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
Using Ambow Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambow Education Holding from the perspective of Ambow Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ambow Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ambow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ambow Education after-hype prediction price | USD 2.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ambow |
Ambow Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ambow Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambow Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ambow Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Ambow Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ambow Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambow Education's historical news coverage. Ambow Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 32.33, respectively. We have considered Ambow Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ambow Education is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambow Education Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ambow Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambow Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambow Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambow Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.84 | 29.83 | 1.93 | 0.44 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.80 | 2.26 | 25.77 |
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Ambow Education Hype Timeline
Ambow Education Holding is presently traded for 1.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.44. Ambow is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 25.77%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 2.84%. The volatility of related hype on Ambow Education is about 19370.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.36. Ambow Education Holding currently holds 10.77 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.45, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Holding has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ambow Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ambow Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ambow Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambow Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambow Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambow Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APEI | American Public Education | 0.35 | 8 per month | 2.12 | 0.1 | 4.22 | (3.55) | 21.66 | |
| AACG | ATA Creativity Global | 0.03 | 3 per month | 3.54 | 0.15 | 8.60 | (3.77) | 31.55 | |
| COGNY | Cogna Educacao SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.00 | (10.71) | 27.33 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | (1.10) | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.08 | 2.81 | (2.83) | 15.11 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | (0.05) | 16 per month | 1.70 | 0.03 | 3.60 | (3.15) | 11.83 |
Ambow Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ambow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Ambow Education Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ambow Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ambow Education Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambow Education based on analysis of Ambow Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ambow Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ambow Education's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 119.3 | 43.01 | 4.81 | 4.57 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 158.85 | 106.68 | 122.68 | 155.56 |
Story Coverage note for Ambow Education
The number of cover stories for Ambow Education depends on current market conditions and Ambow Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ambow Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ambow Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ambow Education Short Properties
Ambow Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ambow Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ambow Education Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ambow Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambow Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambow Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.361 | Earnings Share (1.20) | Revenue Per Share 3.253 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.12) |
The market value of Ambow Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambow Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambow Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambow Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambow Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambow Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambow Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.