Jinhui Liquor (China) Price Prediction
| 603919 Stock | 21.63 0.86 4.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.09 | Wall Street Target Price 24.48 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Using Jinhui Liquor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jinhui Liquor Co from the perspective of Jinhui Liquor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jinhui Liquor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jinhui because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jinhui Liquor after-hype prediction price | CNY 21.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jinhui |
Jinhui Liquor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jinhui Liquor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jinhui Liquor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jinhui Liquor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jinhui Liquor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jinhui Liquor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jinhui Liquor's historical news coverage. Jinhui Liquor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.29 and 25.51, respectively. We have considered Jinhui Liquor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jinhui Liquor is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jinhui Liquor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jinhui Liquor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jinhui Liquor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jinhui Liquor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jinhui Liquor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.61 | 0.27 | 0.07 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.63 | 21.90 | 1.25 |
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Jinhui Liquor Hype Timeline
Jinhui Liquor is presently traded for 21.63on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Jinhui is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Jinhui Liquor is about 2820.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.70. The company reported the revenue of 2.55 B. Net Income was 328.86 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.14 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Jinhui Liquor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jinhui Liquor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jinhui Liquor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jinhui Liquor's future price movements. Getting to know how Jinhui Liquor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jinhui Liquor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.0005 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.06) | 2 per month | 2.40 | (0) | 5.32 | (3.57) | 17.45 | |
| 601186 | China Railway Construction | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.54 | 0.03 | 6.73 | (3.95) | 17.07 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.34 | 0.12 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.85 | 0.09 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 |
Jinhui Liquor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jinhui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jinhui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jinhui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jinhui Liquor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jinhui Liquor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jinhui Liquor Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jinhui Liquor based on analysis of Jinhui Liquor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jinhui Liquor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jinhui Liquor's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Jinhui Liquor
The number of cover stories for Jinhui Liquor depends on current market conditions and Jinhui Liquor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jinhui Liquor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jinhui Liquor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jinhui Liquor Short Properties
Jinhui Liquor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jinhui Liquor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jinhui Liquor Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jinhui Liquor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinhui Liquor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 507.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Jinhui Stock analysis
When running Jinhui Liquor's price analysis, check to measure Jinhui Liquor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jinhui Liquor is operating at the current time. Most of Jinhui Liquor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jinhui Liquor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jinhui Liquor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jinhui Liquor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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