Agricultural Bank (China) Price Prediction
| 601288 Stock | 4.85 0.02 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.056 | Wall Street Target Price 5.02 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
Using Agricultural Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agricultural Bank of from the perspective of Agricultural Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agricultural Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agricultural because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agricultural Bank after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Agricultural |
Agricultural Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agricultural Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agricultural Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agricultural Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agricultural Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agricultural Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agricultural Bank's historical news coverage. Agricultural Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.17 and 6.53, respectively. We have considered Agricultural Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agricultural Bank is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agricultural Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agricultural Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agricultural Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agricultural Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agricultural Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.63 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.85 | 4.85 | 0.00 |
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Agricultural Bank Hype Timeline
Agricultural Bank is presently traded for 4.85on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Agricultural is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agricultural Bank is about 1095.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.86. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Agricultural Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Agricultural Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agricultural Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agricultural Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agricultural Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Agricultural Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agricultural Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 603709 | Zoy Home Furnishing | 0.13 | 2 per month | 2.51 | 0.12 | 4.59 | (3.03) | 17.40 | |
| 603833 | Oppein Home Group | (1.83) | 3 per month | 2.78 | 0.14 | 8.19 | (4.45) | 20.00 | |
| 688484 | Southchip Semiconductor Technology | 2.96 | 1 per month | 3.19 | 0.1 | 6.98 | (6.04) | 31.01 | |
| 002572 | Suofeiya Home Collection | (0.25) | 2 per month | 2.61 | 0.10 | 7.72 | (3.62) | 19.97 | |
| 603216 | Mengtian Home Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.11 | 3.02 | (2.32) | 15.60 | |
| 603326 | Nanjing OLO Home | 0.42 | 1 per month | 2.51 | 0.11 | 4.42 | (3.31) | 20.06 | |
| 002757 | Nanxing Furniture Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.34 | 0.11 | 9.99 | (7.09) | 20.01 | |
| 688249 | Nexchip Semiconductor Corp | (0.24) | 2 per month | 2.12 | 0.17 | 8.46 | (4.03) | 27.98 |
Agricultural Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agricultural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agricultural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agricultural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agricultural Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agricultural Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agricultural Bank of, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agricultural Bank based on analysis of Agricultural Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agricultural Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agricultural Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Agricultural Bank
The number of cover stories for Agricultural Bank depends on current market conditions and Agricultural Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agricultural Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agricultural Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agricultural Bank Short Properties
Agricultural Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agricultural Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agricultural Bank of often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agricultural Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agricultural Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 350 B |
Complementary Tools for Agricultural Stock analysis
When running Agricultural Bank's price analysis, check to measure Agricultural Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agricultural Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Agricultural Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agricultural Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agricultural Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agricultural Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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