Applied Materials (UK) Price Prediction

0R1A Stock   176.50  4.93  2.87%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Applied Materials' share price is approaching 34. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Applied Materials, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Applied Materials' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Applied Materials and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Applied Materials' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Applied Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Applied Materials' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.108
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Using Applied Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied Materials from the perspective of Applied Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Applied Materials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Applied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Applied Materials after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 176.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Applied Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Applied Stock please use our How to Invest in Applied Materials guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.28165.04194.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
167.83170.59173.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
166.43172.62178.81
Details

Applied Materials After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Applied Materials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied Materials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applied Materials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Applied Materials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Applied Materials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied Materials' historical news coverage. Applied Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 174.16 and 179.68, respectively. We have considered Applied Materials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
176.50
174.16
Downside
176.92
After-hype Price
179.68
Upside
Applied Materials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Applied Materials Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied Materials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.76
  0.42 
  0.39 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
176.50
176.92
0.24 
85.45  
Notes

Applied Materials Hype Timeline

Applied Materials is presently traded for 176.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.39. Applied is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 176.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 85.45%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Applied Materials is about 91.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 176.11. The company reported the revenue of 26.52 B. Net Income was 6.86 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.99 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Applied Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Applied Stock please use our How to Invest in Applied Materials guide.

Applied Materials Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Applied Materials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied Materials' future price movements. Getting to know how Applied Materials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied Materials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0LJ9United States Steel(1.28)3 per month 5.23  0.02  5.63 (4.61) 25.23 
IRONIronveld Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.43 (3.26) 15.85 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 7.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.80 (3.78) 10.50 
AMSAdvanced Medical Solutions(7.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.97 (4.36) 19.86 
0RQ6Evolution Gaming Group(5.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.57 (2.59) 17.26 
IBTInternational Biotechnology Trust(13.00)3 per month 1.24 (0.06) 2.20 (1.70) 7.67 
FGENForesight Environmental Infrastructure(4.42)4 per month 0.00 (0.34) 1.74 (2.37) 8.28 
0ND2LPKF Laser Electronics(0.33)1 per month 1.19 (0.04) 1.82 (2.01) 12.24 

Applied Materials Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Applied Materials Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Applied Materials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Applied Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Materials based on analysis of Applied Materials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Applied Materials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Applied Materials's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Applied Materials

The number of cover stories for Applied Materials depends on current market conditions and Applied Materials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied Materials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied Materials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Applied Materials Short Properties

Applied Materials' future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied Materials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding845 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.9 B
Shares Float821.5 M

Additional Tools for Applied Stock Analysis

When running Applied Materials' price analysis, check to measure Applied Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Materials is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.