Guangzhou Jinyi (China) Price Prediction

002905 Stock   8.65  0.16  1.88%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Guangzhou Jinyi's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guangzhou Jinyi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangzhou Jinyi's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangzhou Jinyi Media, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Guangzhou Jinyi's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Wall Street Target Price
5.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
Using Guangzhou Jinyi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangzhou Jinyi Media from the perspective of Guangzhou Jinyi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangzhou Jinyi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangzhou because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guangzhou Jinyi after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guangzhou Jinyi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.116.5810.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.278.7512.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.048.049.03
Details

Guangzhou Jinyi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangzhou Jinyi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangzhou Jinyi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangzhou Jinyi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangzhou Jinyi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangzhou Jinyi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangzhou Jinyi's historical news coverage. Guangzhou Jinyi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.06 and 12.00, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou Jinyi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.65
8.53
After-hype Price
12.00
Upside
Guangzhou Jinyi is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangzhou Jinyi Media is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangzhou Jinyi Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangzhou Jinyi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangzhou Jinyi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangzhou Jinyi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.80 
3.47
  0.12 
  1.40 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.65
8.53
1.39 
2,313  
Notes

Guangzhou Jinyi Hype Timeline

Guangzhou Jinyi Media is presently traded for 8.65on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.4. Guangzhou is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.39%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.8%. The volatility of related hype on Guangzhou Jinyi is about 198.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.05. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.48. Guangzhou Jinyi Media last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2020. The entity had 1.4:1 split on the 21st of May 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Guangzhou Jinyi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guangzhou Jinyi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangzhou Jinyi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangzhou Jinyi's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangzhou Jinyi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangzhou Jinyi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Guangzhou Jinyi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guangzhou Jinyi Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guangzhou Jinyi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangzhou Jinyi Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangzhou Jinyi based on analysis of Guangzhou Jinyi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangzhou Jinyi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangzhou Jinyi's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guangzhou Jinyi

The number of cover stories for Guangzhou Jinyi depends on current market conditions and Guangzhou Jinyi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangzhou Jinyi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangzhou Jinyi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Guangzhou Jinyi Short Properties

Guangzhou Jinyi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangzhou Jinyi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangzhou Jinyi Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangzhou Jinyi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangzhou Jinyi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding376.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments644.5 M

Complementary Tools for Guangzhou Stock analysis

When running Guangzhou Jinyi's price analysis, check to measure Guangzhou Jinyi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangzhou Jinyi is operating at the current time. Most of Guangzhou Jinyi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangzhou Jinyi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangzhou Jinyi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangzhou Jinyi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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