Invengo Information (China) Price Prediction

002161 Stock   6.06  0.06  1.00%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Invengo Information's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Invengo Information, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Invengo Information's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Invengo Information Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Invengo Information's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
28.48
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Using Invengo Information hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invengo Information Technology from the perspective of Invengo Information response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invengo Information to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invengo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Invengo Information after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Invengo Information Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.454.969.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.916.4310.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.735.877.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invengo Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invengo Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invengo Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invengo Information.

Invengo Information After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Invengo Information at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invengo Information or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invengo Information, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Invengo Information Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Invengo Information's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invengo Information's historical news coverage. Invengo Information's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.55 and 10.57, respectively. We have considered Invengo Information's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.06
6.06
After-hype Price
10.57
Upside
Invengo Information is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invengo Information is based on 3 months time horizon.

Invengo Information Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invengo Information is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invengo Information backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invengo Information, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.81 
4.53
  0.06 
  0.08 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.06
6.06
0.00 
5,662  
Notes

Invengo Information Hype Timeline

Invengo Information is presently traded for 6.06on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Invengo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.81%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invengo Information is about 4530.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.14. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Invengo Information was presently reported as 2.11. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2024. Invengo Information had 20:10 split on the 23rd of April 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Invengo Information Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Invengo Information Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Invengo Information's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invengo Information's future price movements. Getting to know how Invengo Information's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invengo Information may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002532Tianshan Aluminum Group 0.38 1 per month 2.54  0.06  5.75 (4.23) 17.40 
688358Chison Medical Technologies(0.23)3 per month 3.62  0.03  6.25 (5.48) 27.63 
002379Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.16  6.37 (3.89) 15.75 
002295Guangdong Jingyi Metal(0.07)1 per month 1.99  0.19  4.33 (2.41) 18.02 
603122Cowealth Medical China 0.48 1 per month 3.86  0.07  9.98 (6.38) 20.07 
002950Allmed Medical Products 0.00 0 per month 2.50  0.12  6.54 (4.61) 19.86 
002149Western Metal Materials 0.09 1 per month 2.27  0.11  6.50 (3.47) 15.58 
002333ZYF Lopsking Aluminum 0.15 1 per month 2.91  0.05  4.67 (3.19) 16.94 

Invengo Information Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Invengo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invengo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invengo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Invengo Information Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Invengo Information stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invengo Information Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invengo Information based on analysis of Invengo Information hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invengo Information's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invengo Information's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Invengo Information

The number of cover stories for Invengo Information depends on current market conditions and Invengo Information's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invengo Information is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invengo Information's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Invengo Information Short Properties

Invengo Information's future price predictability will typically decrease when Invengo Information's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invengo Information Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invengo Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invengo Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding739.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments540.1 M

Complementary Tools for Invengo Stock analysis

When running Invengo Information's price analysis, check to measure Invengo Information's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invengo Information is operating at the current time. Most of Invengo Information's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invengo Information's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invengo Information's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invengo Information to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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