Vanguard Target Retirement Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VTTSX Fund  USD 53.86  0.06  0.11%   
The entity has a beta of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Target's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Target is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Target Retirement are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Target is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date31st of January 2023
Expense Ratio0.0800
  

Vanguard Target Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,190  in Vanguard Target Retirement on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  196.00  from holding Vanguard Target Retirement or generate 3.78% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Target Retirement is currently producing 0.0594% returns and takes up 0.5494% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Target is expected to generate 1.4 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.33 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Target Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
53.86
Please note that Vanguard Target's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Vanguard Target Reti has a current Real Value of $53.69 per share. The regular price of the fund is $53.86. We determine the value of Vanguard Target Reti from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Target is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Target's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  53.86 Real  53.69 Hype  53.86 Naive  53.7
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Target's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Target's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
53.69
Real Value
54.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Target Retirement helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Target more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Target's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.1553.4354.72
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.3153.8654.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
53.1553.7054.25
Details

Vanguard Target Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Target's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Vanguard Target Retirement, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vanguard Target's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1082

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.55
  actual daily
4
96% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.06
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.11
  actual daily
8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vanguard Target is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vanguard Target by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vanguard Target Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Target, and Vanguard Target fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Target Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Target's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Target has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Target has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in a mix of Vanguard mutual funds according to an asset allocation strategy designed for investors planning to retire and leave the workforce in or within a few years of 2060 . The funds asset allocation will become more conservative over time, meaning that the percentage of assets allocated to stocks will decrease while the percentage of assets allocated to bonds and other fixed income investments will increase.

Things to note about Vanguard Target Reti performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Target for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Target Reti help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Another Capital Gains Season to Forget for Vanguards Target-Date - Morningstar
The fund keeps about 9.03% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Vanguard Target's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Target's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Target's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Target's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Target's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Target's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Target's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Target's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Target's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Target's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Target's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Target financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Target security.
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