Government Securities Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

URGSX Fund  USD 8.71  0.03  0.34%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0235, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Government Securities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Government Securities is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.3700
  

Government Securities Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  900.00  in Government Securities Fund on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (26.00) from holding Government Securities Fund or give up 2.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Government Securities Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.261% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Government, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Government Securities is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.06 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Government Securities Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
8.71
Please note that Government Securities' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Government Securities retains a regular Real Value of $8.68 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $8.71. We determine the value of Government Securities from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Government Securities is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Government Mutual Fund. However, Government Securities' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.71 Real  8.68 Hype  8.74 Naive  8.64
The intrinsic value of Government Securities' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Government Securities' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.68
Real Value
8.94
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Government Securities Fund helps investors to forecast how Government mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Government Securities more accurately as focusing exclusively on Government Securities' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.708.758.79
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.488.749.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.388.648.91
Details

Government Securities Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Government Securities' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Government Securities Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Government Securities' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1741

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Negative ReturnsURGSX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.26
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.17
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Government Securities is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Government Securities by adding Government Securities to a well-diversified portfolio.

Government Securities Fundamentals Growth

Government Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Government Securities, and Government Securities fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Government Mutual Fund performance.

About Government Securities Performance

Evaluating Government Securities' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Government Securities has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Government Securities has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in government securities, U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds Treasury Inflation Protected Securities mortgage-backed securities backed by the Government National Mortgage Association, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation U.S. government agency collateralized mortgage obligations securities issued by U.S. government agencies and instrumentalities and repurchase agreements collateralized by such investments.

Things to note about Government Securities performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Government Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Government Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Government Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Government Securities keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.
Evaluating Government Securities' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Government Securities' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Government Securities' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Government Securities' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Government Securities' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Government Securities' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Government Securities' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Government Securities' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Government Securities' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Government Securities' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Government Securities' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Government Mutual Fund

Government Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Government Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Government with respect to the benefits of owning Government Securities security.
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