Government Long Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RYABX Fund  USD 109.67  0.74  0.68%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 43.56, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Government Long will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Government Long Bond are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental drivers, Government Long showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date19th of August 2022
Expense Ratio1.2800
  

Government Long Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,246  in Government Long Bond on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,416  from holding Government Long Bond or generate 374.71% return on investment over 90 days. Government Long Bond is currently producing 12.2462% returns and takes up 74.1197% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Government, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Government Long is expected to generate 101.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 101.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.07 per unit of risk.

Government Long Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
109.67
Please note that Government Long's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Government Long Bond retains a regular Real Value of $107.69 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $109.67. We determine the value of Government Long Bond from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Government Long is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Government Mutual Fund. However, Government Long's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  109.67 Real  107.69 Hype  106.62 Naive  107.83
The intrinsic value of Government Long's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Government Long's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
107.69
Real Value
10,770
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Government Long Bond helps investors to forecast how Government mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Government Long more accurately as focusing exclusively on Government Long's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-26.8633.7394.31
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.33106.6210,769
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.71107.83181.95
Details

Government Long Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Government Long's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Government Long Bond, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Government Long's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1652

Best PortfolioBest EquityRYABX
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Estimated Market Risk

 74.12
  actual daily
96
96% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 5.01
  actual daily
96
96% of assets have lower returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.17
  actual daily
13
87% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Government Long is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Government Long by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Government Long Fundamentals Growth

Government Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Government Long, and Government Long fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Government Mutual Fund performance.

About Government Long Performance

Evaluating Government Long's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Government Long has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Government Long has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to 120 percent of the daily price movement of the Long Treasury Bond for U.S. government securities on a daily basis. Rydex Series is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Government Long Bond performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Government Long for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Government Long Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Government Long Bond is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Government Long Bond appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Government Long Bond generated five year return of -12.0%
This fund maintains about 52.66% of its assets in bonds
Evaluating Government Long's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Government Long's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Government Long's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Government Long's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Government Long's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Government Long's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Government Long's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Government Long's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Government Long's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Government Long's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Government Long's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Government Mutual Fund

Government Long financial ratios help investors to determine whether Government Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Government with respect to the benefits of owning Government Long security.
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