Heineken (Germany) Performance

HNK1 Stock  EUR 68.20  0.60  0.87%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Heineken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Heineken is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Heineken NV has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check out Heineken's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Heineken NV performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Heineken NV has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow2.6 B
  

Heineken Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,850  in Heineken NV on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,030) from holding Heineken NV or give up 13.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Heineken NV is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.1531% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 10% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Heineken, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Heineken is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 per unit of volatility.

Heineken Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heineken's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Heineken NV, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Heineken's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1877

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.15
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90% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.22
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Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.19
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Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Heineken is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Heineken by adding Heineken to a well-diversified portfolio.

Heineken Fundamentals Growth

Heineken Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Heineken, and Heineken fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Heineken Stock performance.

About Heineken Performance

By analyzing Heineken's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Heineken's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Heineken has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Heineken has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Heineken N.V. engages in brewing and selling beer and cider. The company was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. HEINEKEN is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about Heineken NV performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heineken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Heineken NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heineken NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Heineken NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Heineken NV has accumulated 12.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 109.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Heineken NV has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Heineken until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Heineken's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Heineken NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Heineken to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Heineken's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Heineken shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Heineken's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Heineken's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Heineken's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Heineken's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Heineken's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Heineken's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Heineken's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Heineken's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Heineken's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Heineken's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Heineken's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Heineken Stock analysis

When running Heineken's price analysis, check to measure Heineken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heineken is operating at the current time. Most of Heineken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heineken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heineken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heineken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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