Hennessy Focus Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HFCIX Fund  USD 47.30  0.43  0.90%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.25, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hennessy Focus will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Hennessy Focus Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2023
Expense Ratio1.1300
  

Hennessy Focus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,496  in Hennessy Focus Fund on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (766.00) from holding Hennessy Focus Fund or give up 13.94% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hennessy Focus Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.0222% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hennessy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Focus is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Hennessy Focus Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
47.30
Please note that Hennessy Focus' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Hennessy Focus retains a regular Real Value of $48.42 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $47.3. We determine the value of Hennessy Focus from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hennessy Focus is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hennessy Mutual Fund. However, Hennessy Focus' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  47.3 Real  48.42 Hype  47.3 Naive  42.76
The intrinsic value of Hennessy Focus' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hennessy Focus' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
48.42
Real Value
50.44
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hennessy Focus Fund helps investors to forecast how Hennessy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hennessy Focus more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hennessy Focus' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.7848.0949.39
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.2847.3049.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
40.7442.7644.79
Details

Hennessy Focus Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hennessy Focus' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Hennessy Focus Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Hennessy Focus' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.107

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Negative ReturnsHFCIX

Estimated Market Risk

 2.02
  actual daily
17
83% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.22
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Hennessy Focus is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Hennessy Focus by adding Hennessy Focus to a well-diversified portfolio.

Hennessy Focus Fundamentals Growth

Hennessy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hennessy Focus, and Hennessy Focus fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hennessy Mutual Fund performance.

About Hennessy Focus Performance

Evaluating Hennessy Focus' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hennessy Focus has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hennessy Focus has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in domestic companies whose securities are listed on U.S. national securities exchanges, foreign companies listed on U.S. national securities exchanges, foreign companies through American Depositary Receipts , which are U.S. dollar-denominated securities of foreign issuers listed on U.S. national securities exchanges, and foreign companies traded on foreign exchanges. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Hennessy Focus performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hennessy Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hennessy Focus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hennessy Focus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Hennessy Focus' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hennessy Focus' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hennessy Focus' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hennessy Focus' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hennessy Focus' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hennessy Focus' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hennessy Focus' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hennessy Focus' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hennessy Focus' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hennessy Focus' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hennessy Focus' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Focus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Focus security.
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