Guidepath Servative Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GPTCX Fund  USD 11.39  0.19  1.64%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.3, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath Servative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath Servative is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Guidepath Servative Allocation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Guidepath Servative is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.8500
  

Guidepath Servative Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,160  in Guidepath Servative Allocation on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (21.00) from holding Guidepath Servative Allocation or give up 1.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guidepath Servative Allocation is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.3483% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guidepath, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath Servative is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.27 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guidepath Servative Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.39
Please note that Guidepath Servative's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guidepath Servative retains a regular Real Value of $11.58 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $11.39. We determine the value of Guidepath Servative from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guidepath Servative is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guidepath Mutual Fund. However, Guidepath Servative's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.39 Real  11.58 Hype  11.58
The intrinsic value of Guidepath Servative's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guidepath Servative's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.58
Real Value
11.86
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guidepath Servative Allocation helps investors to forecast how Guidepath mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guidepath Servative more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guidepath Servative's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3011.5811.86
Details

Guidepath Servative Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guidepath Servative's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guidepath Servative Allocation, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guidepath Servative's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0802

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.35
  actual daily
3
97% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guidepath Servative is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guidepath Servative by adding Guidepath Servative to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guidepath Servative Fundamentals Growth

Guidepath Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidepath Servative, and Guidepath Servative fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidepath Mutual Fund performance.

About Guidepath Servative Performance

Evaluating Guidepath Servative's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guidepath Servative has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guidepath Servative has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund operates as a fund of funds, investing primarily in registered mutual funds, including exchange-traded funds . The funds in which the fund may invest are referred to herein as the underlying funds. The Advisor believes that investing in underlying funds provides the fund with an efficient means of creating a portfolio that provides investors with indirect exposure to a broad range of securities.

Things to note about Guidepath Servative performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidepath Servative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guidepath Servative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guidepath Servative generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 49.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Guidepath Servative's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guidepath Servative's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guidepath Servative's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidepath Servative's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guidepath Servative's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guidepath Servative's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidepath Servative's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidepath Servative's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guidepath Servative's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guidepath Servative's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guidepath Servative's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath Mutual Fund

Guidepath Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath Servative security.
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