Blackrock Commodity Strategies Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BCSAX Fund  USD 8.62  0.00  0.00%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0658, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Blackrock Commodity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackrock Commodity is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Blackrock Commodity Strategies are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Blackrock Commodity is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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1
BlackRock Commodity Strategies Fund Q2 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
09/17/2024
2
BlackRock Commodity Strategies Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
11/19/2024
Expense Ratio Date28th of September 2022
Expense Ratio0.9700
  

Blackrock Commodity Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  833.00  in Blackrock Commodity Strategies on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  29.00  from holding Blackrock Commodity Strategies or generate 3.48% return on investment over 90 days. Blackrock Commodity Strategies is currently producing 0.0572% returns and takes up 0.7605% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Blackrock, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Commodity is expected to generate 2.48 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of volatility.

Blackrock Commodity Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
8.62
Please note that Blackrock Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Blackrock Commodity shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.39 per share. The current price of the fund is $8.62. We determine the value of Blackrock Commodity from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Blackrock Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Blackrock Mutual Fund. However, Blackrock Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.62 Real  8.39 Hype  8.62 Naive  8.7
The intrinsic value of Blackrock Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Blackrock Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.39
Real Value
9.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Blackrock Commodity Strategies helps investors to forecast how Blackrock mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Blackrock Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Blackrock Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.548.638.72
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.868.629.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.948.709.46
Details

Blackrock Commodity Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blackrock Commodity's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Blackrock Commodity Strategies, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Blackrock Commodity's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0752

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.76
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.06
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.08
  actual daily
5
95% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Blackrock Commodity is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Blackrock Commodity by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Blackrock Commodity Fundamentals Growth

Blackrock Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blackrock Commodity, and Blackrock Commodity fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blackrock Mutual Fund performance.

About Blackrock Commodity Performance

Evaluating Blackrock Commodity's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Blackrock Commodity has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Blackrock Commodity has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The adviser utilizes two strategies and under normal circumstances expects to invest approximately 50 percent of its total assets in each strategy. One strategy focuses on investments in commodity-linked derivatives. To meet coverage and collateral requirements associated with these derivative investments, and to invest excess cash, the fund holds a portion of its portfolio in investment-grade short-term fixed-income securities. The other strategy focuses on equity investments in commodity-related companies, including, but not limited to, companies operating in the mining, energy and agricultural sectors.

Things to note about Blackrock Commodity performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Commodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Commodity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock Commodity Strategies Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund holds about 17.9% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Blackrock Commodity's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blackrock Commodity's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Blackrock Commodity's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blackrock Commodity's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blackrock Commodity's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blackrock Commodity's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blackrock Commodity's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blackrock Commodity's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Blackrock Commodity's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blackrock Commodity's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blackrock Commodity's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Commodity security.
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