Correlation Between Valley National and First Citizens

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valley National and First Citizens at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valley National and First Citizens into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valley National Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valley National and First Citizens and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valley National with a short position of First Citizens. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valley National and First Citizens.

Diversification Opportunities for Valley National and First Citizens

0.45

Correlation Coefficient

Valley National  First Citizens

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Valley and First is 0.45. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valley National Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Citizens BancShares and Valley National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valley National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Citizens. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Citizens BancShares has no effect on the direction of Valley National i.e., Valley National and First Citizens go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valley National and First Citizens

Assuming the 90 days horizon Valley National Bancorp is expected to generate 0.62 times more return on investment than First Citizens. However, Valley National Bancorp is 1.61 times less risky than First Citizens. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Citizens BancShares is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,426  in Valley National Bancorp on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  78.00  from holding Valley National Bancorp or generate 3.22% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Valley National Bancorp  vs.  First Citizens BancShares

Valley National Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valley National Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Valley National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

First Citizens BancShares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Citizens BancShares are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, First Citizens is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with Valley National and First Citizens

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valley National and First Citizens positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valley National position performs unexpectedly, First Citizens can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Citizens will offset losses from the drop in First Citizens' long position.

The idea behind Valley National Bancorp and First Citizens BancShares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.