Correlation Between Vanguard Consumer and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Consumer and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Consumer and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Consumer Discretionary and First Trust Consumer, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Consumer and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Consumer with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Consumer and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Consumer and First Trust

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and First is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Consumer Discretionar and First Trust Consumer in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Consumer and Vanguard Consumer is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Consumer Discretionary are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Consumer has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Consumer i.e., Vanguard Consumer and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Consumer and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Consumer Discretionary is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, Vanguard Consumer is 1.22 times more volatile than First Trust Consumer. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Consumer is currently generating about 0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  31,420  in Vanguard Consumer Discretionary on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,197  from holding Vanguard Consumer Discretionary or generate 19.72% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Consumer Discretionar  vs.  First Trust Consumer

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Consumer 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

21 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Consumer Discretionary are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady fundamental indicators, Vanguard Consumer reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Trust Consumer 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Consumer are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Vanguard Consumer and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Consumer and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Consumer and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Consumer position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Consumer Discretionary and First Trust Consumer pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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