Correlation Between Ultra Fund and Small Cap

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Fund and Small Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Fund and Small Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Fund Investor and Small Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Fund and Small Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Fund with a short position of Small Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Fund and Small Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Fund and Small Cap

0.73

Correlation Coefficient

Ultra Fund  Small Cap

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ULTRA and Small is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Fund Investor and Small Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Small Cap Value and Ultra Fund is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Fund Investor are associated (or correlated) with Small Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Small Cap Value has no effect on the direction of Ultra Fund i.e., Ultra Fund and Small Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Fund and Small Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Fund Investor is expected to under-perform the Small Cap. In addition to that, Ultra Fund is 1.3 times more volatile than Small Cap Value. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Small Cap Value is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  932.00  in Small Cap Value on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (57.00) from holding Small Cap Value or give up 6.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.39%
Values	Daily Returns

Ultra Fund Investor  vs.  Small Cap Value

Ultra Fund Investor

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ultra Fund Investor has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Small Cap Value

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Small Cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Ultra Fund and Small Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Fund and Small Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Fund position performs unexpectedly, Small Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Small Cap will offset losses from the drop in Small Cap's long position.

The idea behind Ultra Fund Investor and Small Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.