Correlation Between Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tax Exempt with a short position of Vanguard Intermediate. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate.

Diversification Opportunities for Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate

0.68

Correlation Coefficient

Tax Exempt  Vanguard Intermediate

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tax and Vanguard is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Intermediate and Tax Exempt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tax Exempt Bond are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Intermediate. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Intermediate has no effect on the direction of Tax Exempt i.e., Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate

Assuming the 90 days horizon Tax Exempt Bond is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Intermediate. In addition to that, Tax Exempt is 1.13 times more volatile than Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt. It trades about -0.37 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt is currently generating about -0.37 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,378  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (21.00) from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt or give up 1.52% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Tax Exempt Bond  vs.  Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax

Tax Exempt Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Tax Exempt Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Tax Exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Intermediate

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Intermediate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tax Exempt and Vanguard Intermediate positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tax Exempt position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Intermediate can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Intermediate will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Intermediate's long position.

The idea behind Tax Exempt Bond and Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.