Correlation Between SM Energy and Murphy Oil

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SM Energy and Murphy Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SM Energy and Murphy Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SM Energy Co and Murphy Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SM Energy and Murphy Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SM Energy with a short position of Murphy Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SM Energy and Murphy Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for SM Energy and Murphy Oil

0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between SM Energy and Murphy is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SM Energy Co and Murphy Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Murphy Oil and SM Energy is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SM Energy Co are associated (or correlated) with Murphy Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Murphy Oil has no effect on the direction of SM Energy i.e., SM Energy and Murphy Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SM Energy and Murphy Oil

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon SM Energy Co is expected to under-perform the Murphy Oil. In addition to that, SM Energy is 1.07 times more volatile than Murphy Oil. It trades about -0.29 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Murphy Oil is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,886  in Murphy Oil on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (120.00) from holding Murphy Oil or give up 4.16% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

SM Energy Co  vs.  Murphy Oil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SM Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SM Energy Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Murphy Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Murphy Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

SM Energy and Murphy Oil Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SM Energy and Murphy Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite SM Energy and Murphy Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SM Energy position performs unexpectedly, Murphy Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Murphy Oil will offset losses from the drop in Murphy Oil's long position.
The idea behind SM Energy Co and Murphy Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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