Correlation Between Inverse Government and Government Long

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Government and Government Long at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Government and Government Long into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Government Long and Government Long Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Government and Government Long and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Government with a short position of Government Long. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Government and Government Long.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Government and Government Long

-1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and Government is -1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Government Long and Government Long Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Long Bond and Inverse Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Government Long are associated (or correlated) with Government Long. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Long Bond has no effect on the direction of Inverse Government i.e., Inverse Government and Government Long go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Government and Government Long

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Government Long is expected to generate 0.79 times more return on investment than Government Long. However, Inverse Government Long is 1.27 times less risky than Government Long. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Long Bond is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  17,528  in Inverse Government Long on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,336  from holding Inverse Government Long or generate 7.62% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Inverse Government Long  vs.  Government Long Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Inverse Government Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inverse Government Long are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Inverse Government may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Government Long Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Long Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Inverse Government and Government Long Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Inverse Government and Government Long

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Government and Government Long positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Government position performs unexpectedly, Government Long can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Long will offset losses from the drop in Government Long's long position.
The idea behind Inverse Government Long and Government Long Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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