Correlation Between Tax-exempt Bond and The National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tax-exempt Bond and The National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tax-exempt Bond and The National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tax Exempt Bond Fund and The National Tax Free, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tax-exempt Bond and The National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tax-exempt Bond with a short position of The National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tax-exempt Bond and The National.

Diversification Opportunities for Tax-exempt Bond and The National

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tax-exempt and The is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tax Exempt Bond Fund and The National Tax Free in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Tax and Tax-exempt Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tax Exempt Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with The National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Tax has no effect on the direction of Tax-exempt Bond i.e., Tax-exempt Bond and The National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tax-exempt Bond and The National

Assuming the 90 days horizon Tax Exempt Bond Fund is expected to under-perform the The National. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Tax Exempt Bond Fund is 1.1 times less risky than The National. The mutual fund trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The The National Tax Free is currently generating about -0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,868  in The National Tax Free on October 15, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (15.00) from holding The National Tax Free or give up 0.8% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tax Exempt Bond Fund  vs.  The National Tax Free

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tax Exempt Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tax Exempt Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Tax-exempt Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
National Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days The National Tax Free has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, The National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Tax-exempt Bond and The National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tax-exempt Bond and The National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tax-exempt Bond and The National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tax-exempt Bond position performs unexpectedly, The National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in The National will offset losses from the drop in The National's long position.
The idea behind Tax Exempt Bond Fund and The National Tax Free pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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